BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Matt Arroyo vs.
John Kolosci

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Matt Arroyo · UFC
0-1-0 John Kolosci · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
0-1-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
43.9
AgeΔ 7.8 yrs
51.7
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
72"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
210.1
Layoff (months)Δ 13.8 mo
223.9
LLW
Last 5 (newest first)
L
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Matt Arroyo is a submission threat — 5.29 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
John Kolosci owns the mat — in control 72% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
John Kolosci rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Matt Arroyo

Full career not yet synced for Matt Arroyo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

John Kolosci

Full career not yet synced for John Kolosci — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

461.62/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
10.21/min · norm 3.17
572.01/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
40.85/min · norm 3.06
47.4%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
20.0%norm 44.9%
58.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
50.0%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matt Arroyo

Distance 57.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 21.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 20.6% (norm 8.1%)

John Kolosci

Distance 60.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 40.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matt Arroyo

Head 81.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 8.2% (norm 8.4%)

John Kolosci

Head 100.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 0.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Arroyo L/AAccWelterweight med Kolosci L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 18 / 56 32.1% 38.6% 0 / 3 too few to rate 38.6%
In the clinch 9 / 21 too few to rate 67.8% 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 19 / 20 too few to rate 67.2% 1 / 2 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 32 / 79 40.5% 37.2% 1 / 5 too few to rate 37.2%
To the body 7 / 10 too few to rate 70.7% 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 7 / 8 too few to rate 82.9% 0 / 0 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Arroyo L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Kolosci L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 14 / 34 41.2% 39.0% 0 / 4 too few to rate 39.0%
In the clinch 9 / 12 too few to rate 68.9% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 34 / 92 37.0% 68.0% 4 / 4 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 45 / 122 36.9% 35.6% 4 / 8 too few to rate 35.6%
To the body 10 / 14 too few to rate 69.6% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 2 / 2 too few to rate 82.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

436.4% acc · 2.12/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.27
2100.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
0— def · norm 63.9%
5:1218.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
3:2372.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
17:409:20 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
0:593:08 per 15 · norm 3:15
105.29/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Arroyo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.