Mats Nilsson vs.
Luke Barnatt
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Mats Nilsson
Full career not yet synced for Mats Nilsson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500
Luke Barnatt
Full career not yet synced for Luke Barnatt — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Mats Nilsson
Distance 92.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.7% (norm 8.1%)
Luke Barnatt
Distance 90.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 10.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Mats Nilsson
Head 82.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.8% (norm 8.4%)
Luke Barnatt
Head 80.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Nilsson L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Barnatt L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 51 / 137 | 37.2% | 38.6% | 256 / 786 | 32.6% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 6 / 10 | too few to rate | 67.8% | 48 / 65 | 73.8% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 1 / 1 | too few to rate | 67.2% | 13 / 19 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 34 / 122 | 27.9% | 37.2% | 220 / 698 | 31.5% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 9 / 10 | too few to rate | 70.7% | 66 / 118 | 55.9% | 71.7% |
| To the legs | 15 / 16 | too few to rate | 82.9% | 31 / 54 | 57.4% | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Nilsson L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Barnatt L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 80 / 260 | 30.8% | 39.0% | 225 / 585 | 38.5% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 12 / 19 | too few to rate | 68.9% | 30 / 51 | 58.8% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 17 / 22 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 22 / 41 | 53.7% | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 80 / 260 | 30.8% | 35.6% | 195 / 545 | 35.8% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 22 / 33 | 66.7% | 69.6% | 32 / 53 | 60.4% | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 7 / 8 | too few to rate | 82.1% | 50 / 79 | 63.3% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Barnatt has more cage time on record.