Mateusz Rebecki vs.
Roosevelt Roberts
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Mateusz Rebecki
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 4 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 15 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.2 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 26 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500
Roosevelt Roberts
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 5 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 6 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.06 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 18 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Mateusz Rebecki
Distance 82.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 14.8% (norm 8.0%)
Roosevelt Roberts
Distance 89.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Mateusz Rebecki
Head 82.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 7.9%)
Roosevelt Roberts
Head 85.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Rebecki L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Roberts L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 403 / 947 | 42.6% | 37.9% | 201 / 543 | 37.0% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 27 / 35 | 77.1% | 67.3% | 17 / 26 | 65.4% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 140 / 171 | 81.9% | 69.1% | 34 / 39 | 87.2% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 411 / 949 | 43.3% | 35.0% | 183 / 518 | 35.3% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 83 / 121 | 68.6% | 69.1% | 38 / 53 | 71.7% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 76 / 83 | 91.6% | 81.9% | 31 / 37 | 83.8% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Rebecki L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Roberts L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 385 / 913 | 42.2% | 38.9% | 213 / 532 | 40.0% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 18 / 28 | 64.3% | 68.6% | 40 / 50 | 80.0% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 47 / 58 | 81.0% | 68.0% | 48 / 67 | 71.6% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 338 / 820 | 41.2% | 35.1% | 135 / 426 | 31.7% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 88 / 149 | 59.1% | 68.1% | 89 / 129 | 69.0% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 24 / 30 | 80.0% | 81.5% | 77 / 94 | 81.9% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Roberts has more cage time on record.