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Mateusz Rebecki vs. Roosevelt Roberts

UFC 5-4-0 vs. 4-5-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-4-0
UFC record
4-5-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
33
AgeΔ 1 yrs
32
5'7"
HeightΔ 7"
6'2"
66"
ReachΔ 7"
73"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
2.6
Layoff (months)Δ 22.1 mo
24.7
WLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLNCL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Mateusz Rebecki carries real power — 0.71 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Mateusz Rebecki hunts takedowns — 2.86 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.
Roosevelt Roberts rarely shoots — 0.80 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Mateusz Rebecki

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 64
Tier 3 — regional circuit 151

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.2 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Roosevelt Roberts

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 65
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.06 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5705.43/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
2522.67/min · norm 3.44
4504.29/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3013.19/min · norm 3.38
49.4%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
41.4%norm 43.65%
55.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
53.6%norm 56.3%
50.71/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mateusz Rebecki

Distance 82.1% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 3.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 14.8% (norm 8.0%)

Roosevelt Roberts

Distance 89.3% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mateusz Rebecki

Head 82.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 8.0%)

Roosevelt Roberts

Head 85.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 8.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rebecki L/AAccLightweight med Roberts L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 403 / 947 42.6% 38.3% 201 / 543 37.0% 38.3%
In the clinch 27 / 35 77.1% 67.5% 17 / 26 65.4% 67.5%
On the ground 140 / 171 81.9% 68.8% 34 / 39 87.2% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 411 / 949 43.3% 35.1% 183 / 518 35.3% 35.1%
To the body 83 / 121 68.6% 69.1% 38 / 53 71.7% 69.1%
To the legs 76 / 83 91.6% 81.8% 31 / 37 83.8% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rebecki L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Roberts L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 385 / 913 42.2% 38.8% 213 / 532 40.0% 38.8%
In the clinch 18 / 28 64.3% 68.6% 40 / 50 80.0% 68.6%
On the ground 47 / 58 81.0% 68.0% 48 / 67 71.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 338 / 820 41.2% 35.2% 135 / 426 31.7% 35.2%
To the body 88 / 149 59.1% 68.2% 89 / 129 69.0% 68.2%
To the legs 24 / 30 80.0% 81.5% 77 / 94 81.9% 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2050.0% acc · 2.86/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
519.2% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.34
853.3% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
1047.6% def · norm 63.7%
30:2028.9% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
19:5421.1% of cage time · norm 18.95%
12:421:48 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
32:015:05 per 15 · norm 2:50
20.29/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
40.64/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Roberts has more cage time on record.