BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Maryna Moroz vs.
Carla Esparza

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-6-0 Maryna Moroz · UFC
10-6-0 Carla Esparza · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-6-0
UFC record
10-6-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
34
AgeΔ 4 yrs
38
5'7"
HeightΔ 6"
5'1"
67"
ReachΔ 4"
63"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
28.9
Layoff (months)Δ 6.9 mo
22
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Carla Esparza hunts takedowns — 3.28 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Maryna Moroz is a submission threat — 0.60 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Carla Esparza owns the mat — in control 28% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Maryna Moroz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 66
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Carla Esparza

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 108
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6624.42/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
4922.19/min · norm 3.77
7334.89/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
6442.87/min · norm 3.94
33.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.5%norm 44.5%
51.9%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
54.4%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Maryna Moroz

Distance 90.9% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.3% (norm 4.9%)

Carla Esparza

Distance 75.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 16.5% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Maryna Moroz

Head 81.2% (norm 78.1%) · Body 15.0% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 3.8% (norm 7.7%)

Carla Esparza

Head 86.0% (norm 76.4%) · Body 8.1% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Moroz L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Esparza L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 539 / 1790 30.1% 39.9% 280 / 935 29.9% 38.3%
In the clinch 58 / 95 61.1% 73.3% 63 / 106 59.4% 72.6%
On the ground 65 / 85 76.5% 74.7% 149 / 206 72.3% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 415 / 1600 25.9% 34.9% 363 / 1072 33.9% 35.4%
To the body 190 / 296 64.2% 69.5% 71 / 101 70.3% 69.3%
To the legs 57 / 74 77.0% 82.6% 58 / 74 78.4% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Moroz L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Esparza L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 596 / 1345 44.3% 38.8% 409 / 1103 37.1% 39.7%
In the clinch 107 / 133 80.5% 74.1% 53 / 87 60.9% 71.5%
On the ground 30 / 45 66.7% 73.4% 182 / 222 82.0% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 417 / 1113 37.5% 35.3% 473 / 1195 39.6% 36.0%
To the body 168 / 217 77.4% 69.0% 90 / 119 75.6% 68.4%
To the legs 148 / 193 76.7% 78.7% 81 / 98 82.7% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

724.1% acc · 0.70/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
4936.3% acc · 3.28/15 · norm 1.10
942.9% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1747.2% def · norm 64.1%
31:0920.8% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
63:2828.3% of cage time · norm 19.4%
22:482:16 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
32:352:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
60.60/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
40.27/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Esparza has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.