BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mark Holst vs.
John Gunderson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 Mark Holst · UFC
1-2-0 John Gunderson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40
AgeΔ 7 yrs
47
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
Reach
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
189.7
Layoff (months)Δ 1 mo
190.7
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mark Holst is a submission threat — 2.28 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
John Gunderson is a submission threat — 2.00 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
John Gunderson's takedown defense leaks — 11% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mark Holst

Full career not yet synced for Mark Holst — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

John Gunderson

Full career not yet synced for John Gunderson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

50.25/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
471.04/min · norm 3.42
331.67/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
771.71/min · norm 3.37
19.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
27.5%norm 43.5%
47.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
58.6%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mark Holst

Distance 88.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.7% (norm 8.0%)

John Gunderson

Distance 70.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 23.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mark Holst

Head 80.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 7.9%)

John Gunderson

Head 86.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Holst L/AAccLightweight med Gunderson L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 2 / 23 too few to rate 37.9% 20 / 121 16.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 1 / 1 too few to rate 67.3% 4 / 10 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 2 / 2 too few to rate 69.1% 23 / 40 57.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 1 / 21 too few to rate 35.0% 30 / 147 20.4% 35.0%
To the body 2 / 3 too few to rate 69.1% 10 / 12 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 2 / 2 too few to rate 81.9% 7 / 12 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Holst L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Gunderson L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 10 / 25 40.0% 38.9% 24 / 93 25.8% 38.9%
In the clinch 1 / 2 too few to rate 68.6% 5 / 10 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 22 / 36 61.1% 68.0% 48 / 83 57.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 25 / 54 46.3% 35.1% 60 / 161 37.3% 35.1%
To the body 6 / 6 too few to rate 68.1% 10 / 14 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 2 / 3 too few to rate 81.5% 7 / 11 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1100.0% acc · 0.76/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
533.3% acc · 1.67/15 · norm 1.38
660.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
111.1% def · norm 64.0%
4:1421.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
13:4030.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
12:299:28 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
20:216:47 per 15 · norm 2:46
32.28/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
62.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gunderson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.