BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mariya Agapova vs.
Luana Santos

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-4-0 Mariya Agapova · UFC
6-1-0 Luana Santos · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-4-0
UFC record
6-1-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
29.3
AgeΔ 3 yrs
26.3
5'6"
HeightΔ 0"
5'6"
68"
ReachΔ 1"
67"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
24.8
Layoff (months)Δ 23.3 mo
1.5
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mariya Agapova carries real power — 0.76 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.09 Women's Flyweight norm.
Mariya Agapova is a submission threat — 1.14 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Luana Santos is a submission threat — 0.97 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.34 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mariya Agapova

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 25
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.71 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 15 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Luana Santos

Full career not yet synced for Luana Santos — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2025.12/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
1952.53/min · norm 3.56
1313.32/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
1892.45/min · norm 3.51
56.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
53.6%norm 46.65%
54.4%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
64.4%norm 52.45%
20.76/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mariya Agapova

Distance 77.8% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 10.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.4% (norm 4.9%)

Luana Santos

Distance 89.3% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 9.3% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 1.4% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mariya Agapova

Head 72.3% (norm 78.1%) · Body 20.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 7.7%)

Luana Santos

Head 71.7% (norm 75.2%) · Body 20.9% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Agapova L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Santos L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 136 / 281 48.4% 39.9% 174 / 325 53.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 31 / 39 79.5% 73.3% 17 / 34 50.0% 73.3%
On the ground 35 / 41 85.4% 74.7% 4 / 5 too few to rate 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 130 / 261 49.8% 34.9% 115 / 261 44.1% 37.7%
To the body 56 / 75 74.7% 69.5% 57 / 76 75.0% 70.0%
To the legs 16 / 25 64.0% 82.6% 23 / 27 85.2% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Agapova L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Santos L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 82 / 221 37.1% 38.8% 149 / 478 31.2% 41.3%
In the clinch 15 / 20 too few to rate 74.1% 30 / 43 69.8% 74.7%
On the ground 34 / 46 73.9% 73.4% 10 / 10 too few to rate 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 80 / 206 38.8% 35.3% 123 / 426 28.9% 38.1%
To the body 29 / 42 69.0% 69.0% 43 / 67 64.2% 73.2%
To the legs 22 / 39 56.4% 78.7% 23 / 38 60.5% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2100.0% acc · 0.76/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
1137.9% acc · 2.14/15 · norm 0.91
746.7% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
685.7% def · norm 62.5%
4:4912.2% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
42:3355.2% of cage time · norm 26.55%
17:286:38 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
4:400:54 per 15 · norm 3:19
31.14/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
50.97/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Santos has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.