BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Marcus Davis vs.
Forrest Petz

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-6-0 Marcus Davis · UFC
2-5-0 Forrest Petz · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-6-0
UFC record
2-5-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
53
AgeΔ 2.1 yrs
50.9
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
187.1
Layoff (months)Δ 3.6 mo
190.7
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Marcus Davis is a submission threat — 1.37 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Forrest Petz carries real power — 0.92 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Marcus Davis carries real power — 0.69 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Marcus Davis

Full career not yet synced for Marcus Davis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Forrest Petz

Full career not yet synced for Forrest Petz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3562.72/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1842.27/min · norm 3.17
3662.79/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1782.20/min · norm 3.06
39.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
29.6%norm 44.9%
65.7%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
57.4%norm 55.25%
60.69/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.92/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Marcus Davis

Distance 81.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.7% (norm 8.1%)

Forrest Petz

Distance 83.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Marcus Davis

Head 81.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.8% (norm 8.4%)

Forrest Petz

Head 78.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Davis L/AAccWelterweight med Petz L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 242 / 733 33.0% 38.6% 123 / 521 23.6% 38.6%
In the clinch 67 / 94 71.3% 67.8% 45 / 72 62.5% 67.8%
On the ground 47 / 69 68.1% 67.2% 16 / 29 55.2% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 232 / 728 31.9% 37.2% 91 / 485 18.8% 37.2%
To the body 65 / 98 66.3% 70.7% 73 / 115 63.5% 70.7%
To the legs 59 / 70 84.3% 82.9% 20 / 22 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Davis L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Petz L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 233 / 808 28.8% 39.0% 98 / 287 34.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 77 / 136 56.6% 68.9% 34 / 60 56.7% 68.9%
On the ground 56 / 123 45.5% 68.0% 46 / 71 64.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 205 / 856 23.9% 35.6% 107 / 334 32.0% 35.6%
To the body 73 / 107 68.2% 69.6% 27 / 37 73.0% 69.6%
To the legs 88 / 104 84.6% 82.1% 44 / 47 93.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1448.3% acc · 1.60/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
7100.0% acc · 1.29/15 · norm 1.27
1147.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2866.7% def · norm 63.9%
29:4722.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
13:1116.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
27:553:11 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
20:473:50 per 15 · norm 3:15
121.37/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Davis has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.