BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Marcus Aurelio vs.
Ryan Roberts

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-4-0 Marcus Aurelio · UFC
0-1-0 Ryan Roberts · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-4-0
UFC record
0-1-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
53
AgeΔ 4.9 yrs
48.1
5'10"
HeightΔ 4"
5'6"
74"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
203.2
Layoff (months)Δ 16.9 mo
220.1
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
L
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ryan Roberts absorbs 22.50 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Ryan Roberts rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Marcus Aurelio's takedown defense leaks — 33% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Marcus Aurelio

Full career not yet synced for Marcus Aurelio — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Ryan Roberts

Full career not yet synced for Ryan Roberts — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1532.36/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
00.00/min · norm 3.42
2604.02/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
622.50/min · norm 3.37
33.3%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
0.0%norm 43.5%
60.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
45.5%norm 56.3%
10.23/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Marcus Aurelio

Distance 88.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.1% (norm 8.0%)

Ryan Roberts

Distance 100.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Marcus Aurelio

Head 94.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 3.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.7% (norm 7.9%)

Ryan Roberts

Head 100.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 0.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Aurelio L/AAccLightweight med Roberts L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 117 / 405 28.9% 37.9% 0 / 1 too few to rate 37.9%
In the clinch 15 / 26 57.7% 67.3% 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 21 / 28 75.0% 69.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 131 / 435 30.1% 35.0% 0 / 1 too few to rate 35.0%
To the body 14 / 16 too few to rate 69.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 8 / 8 too few to rate 81.9% 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Aurelio L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Roberts L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 212 / 569 37.3% 38.9% 1 / 5 too few to rate 38.9%
In the clinch 16 / 28 57.1% 68.6% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 32 / 56 57.1% 68.0% 5 / 6 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 153 / 497 30.8% 35.1% 6 / 11 too few to rate 35.1%
To the body 36 / 64 56.2% 68.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 71 / 92 77.2% 81.5% 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

514.3% acc · 1.16/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
233.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
0— def · norm 64.0%
9:0113.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
0:000.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
11:032:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
0:065:37 per 15 · norm 2:46
30.69/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Aurelio has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.