BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Marco Polo Reyes vs.
Jason Novelli

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 Marco Polo Reyes · UFC
0-2-0 Jason Novelli · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
41
AgeΔ 6 yrs
47
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
71"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
82.5
Layoff (months)Δ 34.5 mo
117
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Marco Polo Reyes carries real power — 1.71 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Marco Polo Reyes rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Jason Novelli is wasteful with head shots — only 15% land, vs a 35% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Marco Polo Reyes

Full career not yet synced for Marco Polo Reyes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Jason Novelli

Full career not yet synced for Jason Novelli — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2646.00/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
371.73/min · norm 3.42
2435.52/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
763.55/min · norm 3.37
37.3%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
24.0%norm 43.5%
59.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
66.5%norm 56.3%
51.71/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Marco Polo Reyes

Distance 89.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.9% (norm 8.0%)

Jason Novelli

Distance 96.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 1.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 1.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Marco Polo Reyes

Head 79.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 7.9%)

Jason Novelli

Head 81.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Reyes L/AAccLightweight med Novelli L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 215 / 634 33.9% 37.9% 34 / 148 23.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 23 / 39 59.0% 67.3% 1 / 3 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 26 / 35 74.3% 69.1% 2 / 3 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 166 / 565 29.4% 35.0% 19 / 125 15.2% 35.0%
To the body 66 / 100 66.0% 69.1% 5 / 13 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 32 / 43 74.4% 81.9% 13 / 16 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Reyes L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Novelli L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 168 / 495 33.9% 38.9% 65 / 212 30.7% 38.9%
In the clinch 37 / 53 69.8% 68.6% 0 / 3 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 38 / 55 69.1% 68.0% 11 / 12 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 189 / 529 35.7% 35.1% 30 / 162 18.5% 35.1%
To the body 33 / 51 64.7% 68.1% 23 / 34 67.6% 68.1%
To the legs 21 / 23 too few to rate 81.5% 23 / 31 74.2% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
133.3% acc · 0.70/15 · norm 1.38
746.7% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1100.0% def · norm 64.0%
3:599.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
1:296.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
7:012:23 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
2:351:48 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Reyes has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.