BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Marcio Cruz vs.
Keigo Kunihara

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Marcio Cruz · UFC
0-1-0 Keigo Kunihara · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
0-1-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
48
Age
6'4"
HeightΔ 4"
6'0"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
235.2
Layoff (months)Δ 14.8 mo
250
LLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
L
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Keigo Kunihara is a submission threat — 2.49 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Marcio Cruz is a submission threat — 1.58 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Keigo Kunihara hunts takedowns — 4.97 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Marcio Cruz

Full career not yet synced for Marcio Cruz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Keigo Kunihara

Full career not yet synced for Keigo Kunihara — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

832.92/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
10.17/min · norm 3.36
431.51/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
121.99/min · norm 3.19
46.1%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
10.0%norm 47.8%
68.6%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
57.1%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Marcio Cruz

Distance 73.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 5.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 21.1% (norm 9.3%)

Keigo Kunihara

Distance 80.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 20.0% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Marcio Cruz

Head 74.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 8.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 17.2% (norm 7.6%)

Keigo Kunihara

Head 80.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cruz L/AAccHeavyweight med Kunihara L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 46 / 133 34.6% 40.1% 0 / 8 too few to rate 40.1%
In the clinch 7 / 9 too few to rate 70.6% 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 30 / 38 78.9% 70.2% 1 / 2 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 38 / 134 28.4% 38.9% 1 / 8 too few to rate 38.9%
To the body 15 / 15 too few to rate 76.8% 0 / 1 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 30 / 31 96.8% 87.8% 0 / 1 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cruz L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Kunihara L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 18 / 106 17.0% 40.7% 11 / 27 40.7% 40.7%
In the clinch 12 / 13 too few to rate 70.6% 1 / 1 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 13 / 18 too few to rate 72.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 22 / 113 19.5% 38.8% 2 / 18 too few to rate 38.8%
To the body 14 / 16 too few to rate 75.1% 1 / 1 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 7 / 8 too few to rate 84.4% 9 / 9 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

17.1% acc · 0.53/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
240.0% acc · 4.97/15 · norm 0.95
337.5% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
2100.0% def · norm 64.3%
6:0521.4% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
3:1553.9% of cage time · norm 17.2%
11:025:49 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
0:271:07 per 15 · norm 2:28
31.58/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
12.49/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cruz has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.