BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Marcin Wrzosek vs.
Julian Erosa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-1-0 Marcin Wrzosek · UFC
9-9-0 Julian Erosa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-1-0
UFC record
9-9-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
38
AgeΔ 1 yrs
37
5'9"
HeightΔ 4"
6'1"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
127.8
Layoff (months)Δ 123.5 mo
4.3
L
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Marcin Wrzosek hunts takedowns — 3.00 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Julian Erosa absorbs 6.23 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.47 Featherweight norm — hittable.
Julian Erosa outworks the Featherweight division — 6.06 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.54 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Marcin Wrzosek

Full career not yet synced for Marcin Wrzosek — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Julian Erosa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 109
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 213

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.92 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 26 finish wins over 44 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

523.47/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
8556.06/min · norm 3.54
614.07/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
8786.23/min · norm 3.47
43.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
48.0%norm 45.0%
43.5%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
49.2%norm 54.85%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.11/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Marcin Wrzosek

Distance 77.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 17.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 8.0%)

Julian Erosa

Distance 85.7% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Marcin Wrzosek

Head 83.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 4.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 7.9%)

Julian Erosa

Head 78.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.4% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Wrzosek L/AAccLightweight med Erosa L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 34 / 92 37.0% 37.9% 664 / 1528 43.5% 40.9%
In the clinch 13 / 21 too few to rate 67.3% 139 / 196 70.9% 70.8%
On the ground 5 / 6 too few to rate 69.1% 52 / 59 88.1% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 39 / 99 39.4% 35.0% 566 / 1394 40.6% 37.2%
To the body 4 / 5 too few to rate 69.1% 208 / 292 71.2% 68.2%
To the legs 9 / 15 too few to rate 81.9% 81 / 97 83.5% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Wrzosek L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Erosa L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 36 / 73 49.3% 38.9% 738 / 1504 49.1% 39.2%
In the clinch 22 / 31 71.0% 68.6% 83 / 133 62.4% 70.3%
On the ground 3 / 4 too few to rate 68.0% 57 / 93 61.3% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 31 / 71 43.7% 35.1% 643 / 1431 44.9% 35.9%
To the body 28 / 34 82.4% 68.1% 115 / 153 75.2% 67.9%
To the legs 2 / 3 too few to rate 81.5% 120 / 146 82.2% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

325.0% acc · 3.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1744.7% acc · 1.81/15 · norm 1.19
133.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2461.5% def · norm 61.5%
4:4131.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
21:4115.4% of cage time · norm 16.7%
4:394:39 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
19:272:04 per 15 · norm 3:12
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
70.74/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Erosa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.