BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Marcin Tybura vs.
Fabricio Werdum

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-11-0 Marcin Tybura · UFC
12-6-0 Fabricio Werdum · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-11-0
UFC record
12-6-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
40.7
AgeΔ 8.3 yrs
49
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'4"
78"
ReachΔ 1"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.2
Layoff (months)Δ 72.2 mo
72.4
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Fabricio Werdum is a submission threat — 0.47 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Fabricio Werdum's takedown defense leaks — 27% stopped, vs a 64% Heavyweight norm.
Marcin Tybura owns the mat — in control 27% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Marcin Tybura

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1411
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Fabricio Werdum

Full career not yet synced for Fabricio Werdum — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9753.49/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
8904.60/min · norm 3.36
9323.34/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
6283.25/min · norm 3.19
46.8%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
56.4%norm 47.8%
54.7%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
54.9%norm 52.5%
10.05/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
40.31/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Marcin Tybura

Distance 80.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.9% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 9.3%)

Fabricio Werdum

Distance 79.8% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Marcin Tybura

Head 77.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 15.5% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.1% (norm 7.6%)

Fabricio Werdum

Head 75.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tybura L/AAccHeavyweight med Werdum L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 677 / 1670 40.5% 40.1% 673 / 1260 53.4% 40.1%
In the clinch 96 / 144 66.7% 70.6% 112 / 155 72.3% 70.6%
On the ground 202 / 269 75.1% 70.2% 105 / 164 64.0% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 629 / 1613 39.0% 38.9% 568 / 1199 47.4% 38.9%
To the body 216 / 322 67.1% 76.8% 169 / 215 78.6% 76.8%
To the legs 130 / 148 87.8% 87.8% 153 / 165 92.7% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tybura L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Werdum L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 711 / 1754 40.5% 40.7% 482 / 1199 40.2% 40.7%
In the clinch 150 / 195 76.9% 70.6% 97 / 140 69.3% 70.6%
On the ground 71 / 109 65.1% 72.0% 49 / 55 89.1% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 639 / 1710 37.4% 38.8% 417 / 1107 37.7% 38.8%
To the body 181 / 220 82.3% 75.1% 82 / 115 71.3% 75.1%
To the legs 112 / 128 87.5% 84.4% 129 / 172 75.0% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2332.4% acc · 1.23/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
1628.6% acc · 1.24/15 · norm 0.95
2970.7% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
426.7% def · norm 64.3%
75:3027.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
36:0418.6% of cage time · norm 17.2%
44:102:22 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
21:431:41 per 15 · norm 2:28
20.11/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
60.47/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tybura has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.