BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Marcin Tybura vs.
Aleksandar Rakic

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-11-0 Marcin Tybura · UFC
7-5-0 Aleksandar Rakic · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-11-0
UFC record
7-5-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
40.7
AgeΔ 6.2 yrs
34.5
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'4"
78"
ReachΔ 0"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.2
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
0.2
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Aleksandar Rakic owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Marcin Tybura owns the mat — in control 27% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Aleksandar Rakic rarely shoots — 0.57 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Marcin Tybura

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1411
Tier 3 — regional circuit 121

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Aleksandar Rakic

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 75
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9753.49/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
5564.20/min · norm 3.41
9323.34/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
3692.78/min · norm 3.35
46.8%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
50.5%norm 48.3%
54.7%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
54.8%norm 52.9%
10.05/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
40.45/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Marcin Tybura

Distance 80.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.9% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 9.3%)

Aleksandar Rakic

Distance 80.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 13.6% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Marcin Tybura

Head 77.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 15.5% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.1% (norm 7.6%)

Aleksandar Rakic

Head 67.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 20.1% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tybura L/AAccHeavyweight med Rakic L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 677 / 1670 40.5% 40.1% 389 / 886 43.9% 41.4%
In the clinch 96 / 144 66.7% 70.6% 52 / 64 81.2% 70.9%
On the ground 202 / 269 75.1% 70.2% 115 / 150 76.7% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 629 / 1613 39.0% 38.9% 282 / 745 37.9% 38.9%
To the body 216 / 322 67.1% 76.8% 103 / 134 76.9% 71.9%
To the legs 130 / 148 87.8% 87.8% 171 / 221 77.4% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tybura L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Rakic L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 711 / 1754 40.5% 40.7% 284 / 704 40.3% 40.4%
In the clinch 150 / 195 76.9% 70.6% 56 / 73 76.7% 68.7%
On the ground 71 / 109 65.1% 72.0% 29 / 40 72.5% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 639 / 1710 37.4% 38.8% 188 / 557 33.8% 37.5%
To the body 181 / 220 82.3% 75.1% 83 / 145 57.2% 72.3%
To the legs 112 / 128 87.5% 84.4% 98 / 115 85.2% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2332.4% acc · 1.23/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
521.7% acc · 0.57/15 · norm 0.87
2970.7% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
2087.0% def · norm 66.7%
75:3027.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
40:2730.5% of cage time · norm 16.5%
44:102:22 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
5:450:39 per 15 · norm 2:48
20.11/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
10.11/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tybura has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.