Marcelo Guimaraes vs.
Dan Stittgen
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Marcelo Guimaraes
Full career not yet synced for Marcelo Guimaraes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500
Dan Stittgen
Full career not yet synced for Dan Stittgen — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Marcelo Guimaraes
Distance 86.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 12.6% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 10.3%)
Dan Stittgen
Distance 91.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Marcelo Guimaraes
Head 54.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 31.5% (norm 8.4%)
Dan Stittgen
Head 45.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 35.0% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Guimaraes L/A | Acc | Middleweight med | Stittgen L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 168 / 353 | 47.6% | 40.5% | 46 / 112 | 41.1% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 42 / 51 | 82.4% | 70.3% | 11 / 11 | too few to rate | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 1 / 2 | too few to rate | 69.1% | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 63 / 222 | 28.4% | 38.9% | 16 / 56 | 28.6% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 36 / 56 | 64.3% | 71.7% | 12 / 24 | too few to rate | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 112 / 128 | 87.5% | 83.3% | 29 / 43 | 67.4% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Guimaraes L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med | vs Stittgen L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 159 / 493 | 32.3% | 39.5% | 52 / 102 | 51.0% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 38 / 40 | 95.0% | 70.9% | 31 / 31 | 100.0% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 2 / 2 | too few to rate | 69.0% | 2 / 2 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 123 / 424 | 29.0% | 37.9% | 20 / 58 | 34.5% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 32 / 56 | 57.1% | 71.3% | 15 / 22 | too few to rate | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 44 / 55 | 80.0% | 82.1% | 50 / 55 | 90.9% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Guimaraes has more cage time on record.