BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Marcelo Golm vs.
Sergei Pavlovich

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Marcelo Golm · UFC
9-3-0 Sergei Pavlovich · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
9-3-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
33.9
AgeΔ 0.3 yrs
34.2
6'3"
HeightΔ 0"
6'3"
75"
ReachΔ 9"
84"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
87.5
Layoff (months)Δ 85.3 mo
2.2
LLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Sergei Pavlovich carries real power — 1.89 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Marcelo Golm is a submission threat — 0.45 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Marcelo Golm rarely shoots — 0.45 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Marcelo Golm

Full career not yet synced for Marcelo Golm — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Sergei Pavlovich

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 93
Tier 3 — regional circuit 120

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.6 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1424.27/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
2854.49/min · norm 3.36
1434.30/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
2273.58/min · norm 3.19
58.4%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
44.7%norm 47.8%
45.8%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
56.2%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
81.89/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Marcelo Golm

Distance 64.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 26.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 9.5% (norm 9.3%)

Sergei Pavlovich

Distance 87.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 7.1% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Marcelo Golm

Head 77.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.9% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 7.6%)

Sergei Pavlovich

Head 89.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 7.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Golm L/AAccHeavyweight med Pavlovich L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 72 / 156 46.2% 40.1% 235 / 557 42.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 50 / 64 78.1% 70.6% 19 / 36 52.8% 70.6%
On the ground 20 / 23 too few to rate 70.2% 31 / 45 68.9% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 93 / 188 49.5% 38.9% 237 / 573 41.4% 38.9%
To the body 24 / 29 82.8% 76.8% 30 / 46 65.2% 76.8%
To the legs 25 / 26 96.2% 87.8% 18 / 19 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Golm L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Pavlovich L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 64 / 164 39.0% 40.7% 204 / 490 41.6% 40.7%
In the clinch 70 / 89 78.7% 70.6% 8 / 11 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 9 / 11 too few to rate 72.0% 15 / 17 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 100 / 211 47.4% 38.8% 113 / 352 32.1% 38.8%
To the body 30 / 37 81.1% 75.1% 38 / 61 62.3% 75.1%
To the legs 13 / 16 too few to rate 84.4% 76 / 105 72.4% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

150.0% acc · 0.45/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
225.0% acc · 0.47/15 · norm 0.95
787.5% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
375.0% def · norm 64.3%
2:538.7% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
7:3812.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
12:485:46 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
1:590:28 per 15 · norm 2:28
10.45/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pavlovich has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.