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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Mantas Kondratavicius vs. Andre Petroski

UFC 1-0-0 vs. 8-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
1-0-0
UFC record
8-5-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
27
AgeΔ 8 yrs
35
6'2"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
75"
ReachΔ 2"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch5-5 vs orthodox fighters
7.5
Layoff (months)Δ 1.8 mo
5.7
W
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Mantas Kondratavicius carries real power — 1.00 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Andre Petroski is a submission threat — 1.23 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Middleweight norm.
Andre Petroski hunts takedowns — 3.13 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Mantas Kondratavicius

Full career not yet synced for Mantas Kondratavicius — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -3.0 wins over .500

Andre Petroski

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

755.00/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
3702.75/min · norm 3.23
171.13/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
4022.99/min · norm 3.20
70.1%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
49.2%norm 47.4%
56.4%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
51.5%norm 53.8%
11.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.11/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mantas Kondratavicius

Distance 63.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 17.8% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 18.7% (norm 10.0%)

Andre Petroski

Distance 83.5% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 1.5% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 15.0% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mantas Kondratavicius

Head 86.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.1% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 8.4%)

Andre Petroski

Head 77.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kondratavicius L/AAccMiddleweight med Petroski L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 42 / 68 61.8% 40.5% 278 / 628 44.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 17 / 19 too few to rate 70.7% 9 / 11 too few to rate 70.7%
On the ground 16 / 20 too few to rate 69.4% 83 / 113 73.5% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 61 / 93 65.6% 38.8% 237 / 579 40.9% 38.8%
To the body 14 / 14 too few to rate 71.6% 74 / 96 77.1% 71.6%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 83.3% 59 / 77 76.6% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kondratavicius L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Petroski L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 15 / 35 42.9% 39.5% 319 / 700 45.6% 39.5%
In the clinch 2 / 4 too few to rate 70.4% 21 / 26 80.8% 70.4%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.0% 62 / 103 60.2% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 10 / 28 35.7% 37.7% 281 / 658 42.7% 37.7%
To the body 3 / 7 too few to rate 71.3% 64 / 96 66.7% 71.3%
To the legs 4 / 4 too few to rate 82.0% 57 / 75 76.0% 82.0%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
250.0% acc · 2.00/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
2852.8% acc · 3.13/15 · norm 1.35
1191.7% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
1986.4% def · norm 63.3%
6:0640.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
52:3239.1% of cage time · norm 19.4%
5:035:03 per 15 · norm 2:58
Time under control lower is better
7:540:52 per 15 · norm 2:58
11.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
111.23/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Petroski has more cage time on record.