BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Makhmud Muradov vs.
Trevor Smith

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-2-0 (1 NC) Makhmud Muradov · UFC
5-7-0 Trevor Smith · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-2-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
5-7-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
36
AgeΔ 9 yrs
45
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'3"
75"
ReachΔ 0"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
30.1
Layoff (months)Δ 49.9 mo
80
NCWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Makhmud Muradov hunts takedowns — 3.03 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Trevor Smith owns the mat — in control 38% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Makhmud Muradov carries real power — 0.57 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Makhmud Muradov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 3 — regional circuit 265

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.84 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 39 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Trevor Smith

Full career not yet synced for Trevor Smith — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3334.21/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
5183.44/min · norm 3.25
2032.57/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
4913.26/min · norm 3.20
43.9%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
55.7%norm 47.4%
61.0%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
53.3%norm 53.8%
30.57/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.20/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Makhmud Muradov

Distance 92.2% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.6% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 10.3%)

Trevor Smith

Distance 65.8% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 17.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 16.9% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Makhmud Muradov

Head 79.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 8.4%)

Trevor Smith

Head 70.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Muradov L/AAccMiddleweight med Smith L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 302 / 699 43.2% 40.5% 272 / 612 44.4% 40.5%
In the clinch 19 / 35 54.3% 70.3% 128 / 161 79.5% 70.3%
On the ground 12 / 24 too few to rate 69.1% 118 / 157 75.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 219 / 601 36.4% 38.9% 281 / 654 43.0% 38.9%
To the body 94 / 134 70.1% 71.7% 135 / 160 84.4% 71.7%
To the legs 20 / 23 too few to rate 83.3% 102 / 116 87.9% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Muradov L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Smith L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 186 / 499 37.3% 39.5% 324 / 833 38.9% 39.5%
In the clinch 8 / 13 too few to rate 70.9% 153 / 201 76.1% 70.9%
On the ground 9 / 9 too few to rate 69.0% 14 / 17 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 134 / 414 32.4% 37.9% 299 / 817 36.6% 37.9%
To the body 20 / 41 48.8% 71.3% 151 / 188 80.3% 71.3%
To the legs 49 / 66 74.2% 82.1% 41 / 46 89.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1666.7% acc · 3.03/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1633.3% acc · 1.60/15 · norm 1.42
1477.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
1368.4% def · norm 63.1%
11:1014.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
57:2538.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
7:401:27 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
17:011:41 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.19/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
60.60/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smith has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.