BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Magnus Cedenblad vs.
Francis Carmont

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-2-0 Magnus Cedenblad · UFC
6-3-0 Francis Carmont · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-2-0
UFC record
6-3-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
44.3
AgeΔ 0.5 yrs
44.8
6'5"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
79"
ReachΔ 1"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
116.5
Layoff (months)Δ 26.9 mo
143.4
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Magnus Cedenblad owns the mat — in control 49% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Magnus Cedenblad is a submission threat — 0.96 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Francis Carmont owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Magnus Cedenblad

Full career not yet synced for Magnus Cedenblad — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Francis Carmont

Full career not yet synced for Francis Carmont — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1122.38/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
2242.06/min · norm 3.25
1423.02/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1731.59/min · norm 3.20
51.1%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
41.3%norm 47.4%
40.3%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
58.7%norm 53.8%
10.32/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.14/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Magnus Cedenblad

Distance 71.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 14.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 14.2% (norm 10.3%)

Francis Carmont

Distance 73.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.8% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Magnus Cedenblad

Head 73.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.7% (norm 8.4%)

Francis Carmont

Head 75.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cedenblad L/AAccMiddleweight med Carmont L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 67 / 157 42.7% 40.5% 117 / 398 29.4% 40.5%
In the clinch 23 / 31 74.2% 70.3% 45 / 59 76.3% 70.3%
On the ground 22 / 31 71.0% 69.1% 62 / 86 72.1% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 70 / 161 43.5% 38.9% 135 / 411 32.8% 38.9%
To the body 25 / 39 64.1% 71.7% 57 / 94 60.6% 71.7%
To the legs 17 / 19 too few to rate 83.3% 32 / 38 84.2% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cedenblad L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Carmont L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 75 / 161 46.6% 39.5% 115 / 331 34.7% 39.5%
In the clinch 29 / 31 93.5% 70.9% 38 / 57 66.7% 70.9%
On the ground 38 / 46 82.6% 69.0% 20 / 31 64.5% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 88 / 167 52.7% 37.9% 89 / 295 30.2% 37.9%
To the body 24 / 33 72.7% 71.3% 22 / 45 48.9% 71.3%
To the legs 30 / 38 78.9% 82.1% 62 / 79 78.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

964.3% acc · 2.87/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1339.4% acc · 1.79/15 · norm 1.42
466.7% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2273.3% def · norm 63.1%
23:0949.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
33:2330.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
8:182:38 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
32:554:32 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.96/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
50.69/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Carmont has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.