BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mackenzie Dern vs.
Amanda Ribas

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-5-0 Mackenzie Dern · UFC
7-6-0 Amanda Ribas · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-5-0
UFC record
7-6-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
33.4
AgeΔ 0.5 yrs
32.9
5'4"
HeightΔ 0"
5'4"
63"
ReachΔ 3"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
9.4
Layoff (months)Δ 3 mo
12.4
WWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mackenzie Dern is a submission threat — 1.06 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Amanda Ribas is a submission threat — 0.56 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Amanda Ribas hunts takedowns — 2.05 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mackenzie Dern

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 115
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Amanda Ribas

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 76
Tier 3 — regional circuit 61

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.84 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7863.47/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
6864.26/min · norm 3.77
8923.93/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
5303.29/min · norm 3.94
41.6%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
40.0%norm 44.5%
52.0%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
60.2%norm 54.4%
20.13/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
10.09/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mackenzie Dern

Distance 86.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 8.3% (norm 5.0%)

Amanda Ribas

Distance 91.6% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 3.1% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mackenzie Dern

Head 87.3% (norm 76.4%) · Body 7.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 9.1%)

Amanda Ribas

Head 76.6% (norm 76.4%) · Body 12.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dern L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Ribas L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 573 / 1627 35.2% 38.3% 589 / 1573 37.4% 38.3%
In the clinch 79 / 105 75.2% 72.6% 36 / 53 67.9% 72.6%
On the ground 134 / 157 85.4% 75.0% 61 / 91 67.0% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 593 / 1649 36.0% 35.4% 421 / 1316 32.0% 35.4%
To the body 110 / 149 73.8% 69.3% 123 / 222 55.4% 69.3%
To the legs 83 / 91 91.2% 77.9% 142 / 179 79.3% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dern L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Ribas L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 724 / 1649 43.9% 39.7% 413 / 1180 35.0% 39.7%
In the clinch 129 / 152 84.9% 71.5% 43 / 60 71.7% 71.5%
On the ground 39 / 56 69.6% 74.4% 74 / 90 82.2% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 477 / 1351 35.3% 36.0% 369 / 1074 34.4% 36.0%
To the body 226 / 299 75.6% 68.4% 108 / 191 56.5% 68.4%
To the legs 189 / 207 91.3% 79.1% 53 / 65 81.5% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1418.4% acc · 0.93/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
2252.4% acc · 2.05/15 · norm 1.10
1137.9% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
2882.4% def · norm 64.1%
63:4128.1% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
43:0026.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
42:302:48 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
24:442:18 per 15 · norm 3:00
161.06/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
60.56/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dern has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.