BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mackens Semerzier vs.
Alex Caceres

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-1-0 (1 NC) Mackens Semerzier · UFC
16-13-0 (1 NC) Alex Caceres · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-1-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
16-13-0 (1 NC)
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
45.8
AgeΔ 7.7 yrs
38.1
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
72"
ReachΔ 1"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
173.1
Layoff (months)Δ 146.3 mo
26.8
LNCW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mackens Semerzier hunts takedowns — 3.47 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Mackens Semerzier owns the mat — in control 45% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Alex Caceres rarely shoots — 0.54 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mackens Semerzier

Full career not yet synced for Mackens Semerzier — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Alex Caceres

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1613
Tier 3 — regional circuit 52

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.78 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 37 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

683.93/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
15194.21/min · norm 3.54
553.18/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
11153.09/min · norm 3.47
59.6%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
50.0%norm 45.0%
56.7%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
62.8%norm 54.85%
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
50.21/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mackens Semerzier

Distance 73.7% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 14.9% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 11.4% (norm 6.5%)

Alex Caceres

Distance 90.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mackens Semerzier

Head 56.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 21.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 22.8% (norm 7.8%)

Alex Caceres

Head 75.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Semerzier L/AAccFeatherweight med Caceres L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 41 / 84 48.8% 40.9% 1306 / 2737 47.7% 40.9%
In the clinch 15 / 17 too few to rate 70.8% 128 / 177 72.3% 70.8%
On the ground 12 / 13 too few to rate 69.2% 85 / 126 67.5% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 23 / 64 35.9% 37.2% 950 / 2289 41.5% 37.2%
To the body 22 / 24 too few to rate 68.2% 381 / 521 73.1% 68.2%
To the legs 23 / 26 88.5% 80.7% 188 / 230 81.7% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Semerzier L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Caceres L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 32 / 98 32.7% 39.2% 957 / 2752 34.8% 39.2%
In the clinch 9 / 13 too few to rate 70.3% 70 / 105 66.7% 70.3%
On the ground 14 / 16 too few to rate 69.4% 88 / 144 61.1% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 36 / 102 35.3% 35.9% 633 / 2305 27.5% 35.9%
To the body 11 / 17 too few to rate 67.9% 210 / 358 58.7% 67.9%
To the legs 8 / 8 too few to rate 81.5% 272 / 338 80.5% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

440.0% acc · 3.47/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
1368.4% acc · 0.54/15 · norm 1.19
0— def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
8564.9% def · norm 61.5%
7:4344.6% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
44:1012.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
0:420:36 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
76:363:11 per 15 · norm 3:12
10.87/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
160.67/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Caceres has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.