BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mac Danzig vs.
Joe Stevenson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-8-0 Mac Danzig · UFC
8-8-0 Joe Stevenson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-8-0
UFC record
8-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
46
AgeΔ 2 yrs
44
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
151.7
Layoff (months)Δ 29.6 mo
181.3
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Stevenson is a submission threat — 2.19 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Joe Stevenson hunts takedowns — 2.83 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Mac Danzig is a submission threat — 0.64 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mac Danzig

Full career not yet synced for Mac Danzig — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Joe Stevenson

Full career not yet synced for Joe Stevenson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4923.49/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3071.87/min · norm 3.42
4773.39/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4322.63/min · norm 3.37
49.9%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
42.0%norm 43.5%
57.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
60.4%norm 56.3%
30.32/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.09/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mac Danzig

Distance 77.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.3% (norm 8.0%)

Joe Stevenson

Distance 65.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 26.7% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mac Danzig

Head 81.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 7.9%)

Joe Stevenson

Head 84.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Danzig L/AAccLightweight med Stevenson L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 338 / 762 44.4% 37.9% 142 / 482 29.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 97 / 132 73.5% 67.3% 35 / 54 64.8% 67.3%
On the ground 57 / 92 62.0% 69.1% 130 / 195 66.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 337 / 802 42.0% 35.0% 225 / 619 36.3% 35.0%
To the body 95 / 116 81.9% 69.1% 44 / 67 65.7% 69.1%
To the legs 60 / 68 88.2% 81.9% 38 / 45 84.4% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Danzig L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Stevenson L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 243 / 780 31.2% 38.9% 304 / 865 35.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 139 / 189 73.5% 68.6% 26 / 55 47.3% 68.6%
On the ground 95 / 146 65.1% 68.0% 102 / 170 60.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 289 / 893 32.4% 35.1% 348 / 981 35.5% 35.1%
To the body 100 / 128 78.1% 68.1% 63 / 83 75.9% 68.1%
To the legs 88 / 94 93.6% 81.5% 21 / 26 80.8% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1237.5% acc · 1.28/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
3146.3% acc · 2.83/15 · norm 1.38
2347.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1641.0% def · norm 64.0%
30:3321.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
52:2231.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
46:294:57 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
46:334:14 per 15 · norm 2:46
60.64/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
242.19/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Stevenson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.