BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Lyoto Machida vs.
Gegard Mousasi

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

16-8-0 Lyoto Machida · UFC
9-3-0 Gegard Mousasi · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

16-8-0
UFC record
9-3-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
48.2
AgeΔ 7.2 yrs
41
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
76"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
98.8
Layoff (months)Δ 13.1 mo
111.9
WWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Lyoto Machida carries real power — 0.73 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Gegard Mousasi is hard to hit — absorbs 1.39 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.20 Middleweight norm.
Lyoto Machida is a submission threat — 0.42 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Lyoto Machida

Full career not yet synced for Lyoto Machida — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 13-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Gegard Mousasi

Full career not yet synced for Gegard Mousasi — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7162.51/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
4653.87/min · norm 3.25
4621.62/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
1671.39/min · norm 3.20
51.7%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
50.3%norm 47.4%
62.6%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
68.0%norm 53.8%
140.73/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
20.25/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Lyoto Machida

Distance 76.8% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 9.2% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 14.0% (norm 10.4%)

Gegard Mousasi

Distance 74.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 16.8% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Lyoto Machida

Head 64.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 20.3% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 15.7% (norm 9.7%)

Gegard Mousasi

Head 82.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 7.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Machida L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Mousasi L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 509 / 1063 47.9% 41.4% 303 / 685 44.2% 40.5%
In the clinch 89 / 127 70.1% 70.9% 53 / 84 63.1% 70.3%
On the ground 118 / 194 60.8% 72.3% 109 / 155 70.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 360 / 886 40.6% 38.9% 332 / 759 43.7% 38.9%
To the body 196 / 281 69.8% 71.9% 48 / 69 69.6% 71.7%
To the legs 160 / 217 73.7% 81.8% 85 / 96 88.5% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Machida L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Mousasi L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 301 / 996 30.2% 40.4% 129 / 468 27.6% 39.5%
In the clinch 111 / 162 68.5% 68.7% 7 / 12 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 50 / 77 64.9% 70.4% 31 / 42 73.8% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 204 / 799 25.5% 37.5% 96 / 403 23.8% 37.9%
To the body 102 / 191 53.4% 72.3% 27 / 58 46.6% 71.3%
To the legs 156 / 245 63.7% 83.0% 44 / 61 72.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1463.6% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
952.9% acc · 1.12/15 · norm 1.42
6576.5% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2873.7% def · norm 63.1%
44:4115.6% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
28:0123.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
26:581:24 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
19:462:28 per 15 · norm 3:00
80.42/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
30.37/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Machida has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.