BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Luke Riley vs.
Bogdan Grad

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-0-0 Luke Riley · UFC
2-2-0 Bogdan Grad · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-0-0
UFC record
2-2-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
27.1
AgeΔ 3.8 yrs
30.9
Height
5'8"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
0.9
Layoff (months)Δ 0.7 mo
0.2
WWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Bogdan Grad hunts takedowns — 5.33 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Luke Riley carries real power — 1.27 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Bogdan Grad owns the mat — in control 45% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Luke Riley

Full career not yet synced for Luke Riley — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Bogdan Grad

Full career not yet synced for Bogdan Grad — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1576.67/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
1283.25/min · norm 3.54
913.86/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
1122.84/min · norm 3.47
58.8%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
59.0%norm 45.0%
61.1%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
48.6%norm 54.85%
21.27/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Luke Riley

Distance 88.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.9% (norm 6.5%)

Bogdan Grad

Distance 55.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 14.3% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 30.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Luke Riley

Head 77.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 18.0% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 7.8%)

Bogdan Grad

Head 74.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 14.7% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 11.1% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Riley L/AAccFeatherweight med Grad L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 129 / 235 54.9% 40.9% 52 / 120 43.3% 40.9%
In the clinch 17 / 19 too few to rate 70.8% 24 / 31 77.4% 70.8%
On the ground 11 / 13 too few to rate 69.2% 52 / 66 78.8% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 106 / 206 51.5% 37.2% 87 / 161 54.0% 37.2%
To the body 41 / 48 85.4% 68.2% 23 / 32 71.9% 68.2%
To the legs 10 / 13 too few to rate 80.7% 18 / 24 too few to rate 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Riley L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Grad L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 82 / 215 38.1% 39.2% 93 / 193 48.2% 39.2%
In the clinch 5 / 13 too few to rate 70.3% 8 / 11 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 4 / 6 too few to rate 69.4% 11 / 14 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 63 / 193 32.6% 35.9% 76 / 176 43.2% 35.9%
To the body 18 / 27 66.7% 67.9% 20 / 23 too few to rate 67.9%
To the legs 10 / 14 too few to rate 81.5% 16 / 19 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
1437.8% acc · 5.33/15 · norm 1.19
337.5% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
375.0% def · norm 61.5%
0:171.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
17:4645.1% of cage time · norm 16.7%
6:444:17 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
5:212:02 per 15 · norm 3:12
00.00/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
20.76/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Grad has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.