BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Luana Pinheiro vs.
Michelle Waterson-Gomez

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Luana Pinheiro · UFC
6-9-0 Michelle Waterson-Gomez · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
6-9-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
33.7
AgeΔ 6.9 yrs
40.6
5'2"
HeightΔ 1"
5'3"
62"
ReachΔ 0"
62"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
14.7
Layoff (months)Δ 10.5 mo
25.2
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Luana Pinheiro hunts takedowns — 2.40 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Michelle Waterson-Gomez is a submission threat — 0.55 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Luana Pinheiro defends body shots well — opponents land just 42%, vs a 68% Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Luana Pinheiro

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.87 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Michelle Waterson-Gomez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 69
Tier 3 — regional circuit 124

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.47 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2873.29/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
7803.57/min · norm 3.77
3624.14/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
9914.54/min · norm 3.94
39.6%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
45.8%norm 44.5%
59.6%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
48.0%norm 54.4%
10.17/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Luana Pinheiro

Distance 90.3% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 5.0%)

Michelle Waterson-Gomez

Distance 83.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 6.5% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Luana Pinheiro

Head 76.6% (norm 76.4%) · Body 14.1% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 9.1%)

Michelle Waterson-Gomez

Head 64.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 19.4% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 16.2% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pinheiro L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Waterson-Gomez L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 251 / 655 38.3% 38.3% 546 / 1413 38.6% 38.3%
In the clinch 29 / 54 53.7% 72.6% 146 / 179 81.6% 72.6%
On the ground 7 / 16 too few to rate 75.0% 88 / 111 79.3% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 171 / 555 30.8% 35.4% 366 / 1097 33.4% 35.4%
To the body 68 / 102 66.7% 69.3% 222 / 330 67.3% 69.3%
To the legs 48 / 68 70.6% 77.9% 192 / 276 69.6% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pinheiro L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Waterson-Gomez L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 301 / 806 37.3% 39.7% 619 / 1447 42.8% 39.7%
In the clinch 33 / 50 66.0% 71.5% 239 / 302 79.1% 71.5%
On the ground 28 / 40 70.0% 74.4% 133 / 156 85.3% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 196 / 594 33.0% 36.0% 536 / 1292 41.5% 36.0%
To the body 60 / 142 42.3% 68.4% 263 / 362 72.7% 68.4%
To the legs 106 / 160 66.2% 79.1% 192 / 251 76.5% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1437.8% acc · 2.40/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
1930.2% acc · 1.31/15 · norm 1.10
2071.4% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
2670.3% def · norm 64.1%
7:408.8% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
39:4718.2% of cage time · norm 19.4%
14:222:28 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
50:313:28 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.17/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
80.55/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Waterson-Gomez has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.