BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Luan Chagas vs.
Sergio Moraes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-1 Luan Chagas · UFC
8-5-1 Sergio Moraes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-1
UFC record
8-5-1
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
33.1
AgeΔ 10.9 yrs
44
6'0"
HeightΔ 0"
6'0"
75"
ReachΔ 3"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
99.5
Layoff (months)Δ 18.8 mo
80.7
LWLD
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Luan Chagas carries real power — 1.29 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Luan Chagas rarely shoots — 0.32 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Sergio Moraes is wasteful with clinch strikes — only 48% land, vs a 68% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Luan Chagas

Full career not yet synced for Luan Chagas — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Sergio Moraes

Full career not yet synced for Sergio Moraes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1934.16/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
4232.42/min · norm 3.17
1483.19/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
6523.73/min · norm 3.06
47.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
42.6%norm 44.9%
62.4%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
60.0%norm 55.25%
41.29/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.09/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Luan Chagas

Distance 90.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 8.1%)

Sergio Moraes

Distance 93.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Luan Chagas

Head 76.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.7% (norm 8.4%)

Sergio Moraes

Head 85.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Chagas L/AAccWelterweight med Moraes L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 169 / 371 45.6% 38.6% 385 / 932 41.3% 38.6%
In the clinch 9 / 11 too few to rate 67.8% 12 / 25 48.0% 67.8%
On the ground 15 / 28 53.6% 67.2% 26 / 36 72.2% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 129 / 315 41.0% 37.2% 324 / 848 38.2% 37.2%
To the body 23 / 47 48.9% 70.7% 73 / 114 64.0% 70.7%
To the legs 41 / 48 85.4% 82.9% 26 / 31 83.9% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Chagas L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Moraes L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 110 / 333 33.0% 39.0% 609 / 1563 39.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.9% 17 / 22 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 30 / 50 60.0% 68.0% 26 / 44 59.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 106 / 339 31.3% 35.6% 413 / 1291 32.0% 35.6%
To the body 29 / 42 69.0% 69.6% 108 / 176 61.4% 69.6%
To the legs 13 / 13 too few to rate 82.1% 131 / 162 80.9% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

112.5% acc · 0.32/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1438.9% acc · 1.20/15 · norm 1.27
685.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
375.0% def · norm 63.9%
7:0615.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
29:5317.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
9:293:03 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
10:360:54 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.32/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
50.43/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moraes has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.