BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Louis Smolka vs.
Davey Grant

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-9-0 Louis Smolka · UFC
9-7-0 Davey Grant · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-9-0
UFC record
9-7-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
35.1
AgeΔ 5.5 yrs
40.6
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
68"
ReachΔ 1"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
50.8
Layoff (months)Δ 47.4 mo
3.4
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Louis Smolka is a submission threat — 1.78 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Louis Smolka owns the mat — in control 28% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Davey Grant outworks the Bantamweight division — 5.58 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.52 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Louis Smolka

Full career not yet synced for Louis Smolka — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Davey Grant

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 97
Tier 3 — regional circuit 91

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7474.67/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
10635.58/min · norm 3.52
6574.11/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
7694.04/min · norm 3.58
47.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
45.5%norm 43.4%
53.6%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
54.8%norm 56.6%
20.19/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
40.32/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Louis Smolka

Distance 72.4% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 20.5% (norm 7.3%)

Davey Grant

Distance 92.8% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Louis Smolka

Head 77.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 18.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 3.9% (norm 9.3%)

Davey Grant

Head 63.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 22.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Smolka L/AAccFlyweight med Grant L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 455 / 1141 39.9% 40.0% 951 / 2169 43.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 81 / 111 73.0% 70.4% 63 / 98 64.3% 68.7%
On the ground 211 / 323 65.3% 69.7% 49 / 70 70.0% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 497 / 1226 40.5% 37.6% 429 / 1476 29.1% 34.9%
To the body 194 / 287 67.6% 68.5% 347 / 527 65.8% 66.8%
To the legs 56 / 62 90.3% 80.0% 287 / 334 85.9% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Smolka L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Grant L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 468 / 1154 40.6% 40.1% 660 / 1534 43.0% 39.3%
In the clinch 90 / 130 69.2% 68.8% 54 / 74 73.0% 70.4%
On the ground 99 / 133 74.4% 71.1% 55 / 94 58.5% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 377 / 1031 36.6% 35.2% 457 / 1272 35.9% 34.9%
To the body 185 / 281 65.8% 68.2% 183 / 281 65.1% 66.0%
To the legs 95 / 105 90.5% 80.3% 129 / 149 86.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1835.3% acc · 1.69/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
1238.7% acc · 0.95/15 · norm 1.12
1932.2% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
3065.2% def · norm 66.7%
45:1428.3% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
22:5412.0% of cage time · norm 17.4%
40:353:48 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
27:572:12 per 15 · norm 2:24
191.78/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
20.16/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smolka has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.