BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Lorenz Larkin vs.
Neil Magny

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-5-0 Lorenz Larkin · UFC
24-13-0 Neil Magny · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-5-0
UFC record
24-13-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39
AgeΔ 0 yrs
39
5'11"
HeightΔ 4"
6'3"
72"
ReachΔ 8"
80"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
119.5
Layoff (months)Δ 111.7 mo
7.8
WWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Lorenz Larkin rarely shoots — 0.14 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Neil Magny hunts takedowns — 2.17 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Lorenz Larkin is accurate with ground strikes — lands 88%, vs a 67% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Lorenz Larkin

Full career not yet synced for Lorenz Larkin — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500

Neil Magny

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2413
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 24 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 17-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3913.61/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
15063.40/min · norm 3.17
3232.98/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
10802.44/min · norm 3.06
44.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
46.9%norm 44.9%
62.5%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
51.8%norm 55.25%
30.42/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.07/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Lorenz Larkin

Distance 83.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.1%)

Neil Magny

Distance 74.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 14.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Lorenz Larkin

Head 68.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 20.0% (norm 8.4%)

Neil Magny

Head 81.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Larkin L/AAccWelterweight med Magny L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 293 / 735 39.9% 38.6% 883 / 2407 36.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 75 / 115 65.2% 67.8% 270 / 354 76.3% 67.8%
On the ground 23 / 26 88.5% 67.2% 353 / 451 78.3% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 191 / 603 31.7% 37.2% 1067 / 2629 40.6% 37.2%
To the body 61 / 98 62.2% 70.7% 282 / 374 75.4% 70.7%
To the legs 139 / 175 79.4% 82.9% 157 / 209 75.1% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Larkin L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Magny L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 274 / 794 34.5% 39.0% 778 / 1776 43.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 42 / 61 68.9% 68.9% 98 / 171 57.3% 68.9%
On the ground 7 / 7 too few to rate 68.0% 204 / 293 69.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 173 / 629 27.5% 35.6% 626 / 1674 37.4% 35.6%
To the body 63 / 114 55.3% 69.6% 164 / 241 68.0% 69.6%
To the legs 87 / 119 73.1% 82.1% 290 / 325 89.2% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

125.0% acc · 0.14/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
6439.8% acc · 2.17/15 · norm 1.27
3579.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
6255.4% def · norm 63.9%
5:545.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
94:3821.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
26:473:42 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
141:524:48 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
80.27/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Magny has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.