Lorenz Larkin vs.
Francis Carmont
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Lorenz Larkin
Full career not yet synced for Lorenz Larkin — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500
Francis Carmont
Full career not yet synced for Francis Carmont — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Lorenz Larkin
Distance 83.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.1%)
Francis Carmont
Distance 73.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.8% (norm 10.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Lorenz Larkin
Head 68.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 20.0% (norm 8.4%)
Francis Carmont
Head 75.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Larkin L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Carmont L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 293 / 735 | 39.9% | 38.6% | 117 / 398 | 29.4% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 75 / 115 | 65.2% | 67.8% | 45 / 59 | 76.3% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 23 / 26 | 88.5% | 67.2% | 62 / 86 | 72.1% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 191 / 603 | 31.7% | 37.2% | 135 / 411 | 32.8% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 61 / 98 | 62.2% | 70.7% | 57 / 94 | 60.6% | 71.7% |
| To the legs | 139 / 175 | 79.4% | 82.9% | 32 / 38 | 84.2% | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Larkin L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Carmont L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 274 / 794 | 34.5% | 39.0% | 115 / 331 | 34.7% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 42 / 61 | 68.9% | 68.9% | 38 / 57 | 66.7% | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 7 / 7 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 20 / 31 | 64.5% | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 173 / 629 | 27.5% | 35.6% | 89 / 295 | 30.2% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 63 / 114 | 55.3% | 69.6% | 22 / 45 | 48.9% | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 87 / 119 | 73.1% | 82.1% | 62 / 79 | 78.5% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Larkin has more cage time on record.