BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Loopy Godinez vs.
Mackenzie Dern

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-6-0 Loopy Godinez · UFC
11-5-0 Mackenzie Dern · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-6-0
UFC record
11-5-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
32.9
AgeΔ 0.5 yrs
33.4
5'2"
HeightΔ 2"
5'4"
61"
ReachΔ 2"
63"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 5.6 mo
9.4
LWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mackenzie Dern is a submission threat — 1.06 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Loopy Godinez is a submission threat — 0.82 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Loopy Godinez hunts takedowns — 2.99 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Loopy Godinez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 96
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.12 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Mackenzie Dern

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 115
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8874.43/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
7863.47/min · norm 3.77
7903.94/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
8923.93/min · norm 3.94
49.4%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
41.6%norm 44.5%
62.4%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
52.0%norm 54.4%
10.07/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
20.13/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Loopy Godinez

Distance 89.5% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 3.7% (norm 5.0%)

Mackenzie Dern

Distance 86.1% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 8.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Loopy Godinez

Head 86.1% (norm 76.4%) · Body 10.6% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 3.3% (norm 9.1%)

Mackenzie Dern

Head 87.3% (norm 76.4%) · Body 7.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Godinez L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Dern L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 742 / 1606 46.2% 38.3% 573 / 1627 35.2% 38.3%
In the clinch 91 / 122 74.6% 72.6% 79 / 105 75.2% 72.6%
On the ground 54 / 67 80.6% 75.0% 134 / 157 85.4% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 692 / 1546 44.8% 35.4% 593 / 1649 36.0% 35.4%
To the body 143 / 190 75.3% 69.3% 110 / 149 73.8% 69.3%
To the legs 52 / 59 88.1% 77.9% 83 / 91 91.2% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Godinez L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Dern L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 711 / 1983 35.9% 39.7% 724 / 1649 43.9% 39.7%
In the clinch 59 / 87 67.8% 71.5% 129 / 152 84.9% 71.5%
On the ground 20 / 29 69.0% 74.4% 39 / 56 69.6% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 520 / 1682 30.9% 36.0% 477 / 1351 35.3% 36.0%
To the body 177 / 295 60.0% 68.4% 226 / 299 75.6% 68.4%
To the legs 93 / 122 76.2% 79.1% 189 / 207 91.3% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4042.6% acc · 2.99/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
1418.4% acc · 0.93/15 · norm 1.10
3676.6% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
1137.9% def · norm 64.1%
56:1428.1% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
63:4128.1% of cage time · norm 19.4%
27:092:01 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
42:302:48 per 15 · norm 3:00
110.82/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
161.06/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dern has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.