BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Lone'er Kavanagh vs.
Brandon Moreno

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-2-0 Lone'er Kavanagh · UFC
11-7-2 Brandon Moreno · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-2-0
UFC record
11-7-2
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
27
AgeΔ 5 yrs
32
5'6"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
67"
ReachΔ 3"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.9
Layoff (months)Δ 4.3 mo
5.2
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Lone'er Kavanagh defends body shots well — opponents land just 49%, vs a 68% Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Lone'er Kavanagh

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 42
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40
Tier 3 — regional circuit 20

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.46 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 12 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Brandon Moreno

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 117
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 113

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.04 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3214.10/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
13083.84/min · norm 3.49
3083.94/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
12423.64/min · norm 3.24
50.0%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
44.4%norm 44.6%
53.5%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
59.9%norm 56.4%
10.19/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
40.18/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Lone'er Kavanagh

Distance 85.7% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 8.6% (norm 7.3%)

Brandon Moreno

Distance 91.1% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 4.6% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Lone'er Kavanagh

Head 70.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.4% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 12.3% (norm 9.3%)

Brandon Moreno

Head 84.7% (norm 75.9%) · Body 9.9% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kavanagh L/AAccFlyweight med Moreno L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 258 / 550 46.9% 40.0% 1147 / 2684 42.7% 40.0%
In the clinch 25 / 37 67.6% 70.4% 72 / 126 57.1% 70.4%
On the ground 38 / 55 69.1% 69.7% 89 / 136 65.4% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 184 / 451 40.8% 37.6% 969 / 2494 38.9% 37.6%
To the body 79 / 112 70.5% 68.5% 207 / 293 70.6% 68.5%
To the legs 58 / 79 73.4% 80.0% 132 / 159 83.0% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kavanagh L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Moreno L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 238 / 575 41.4% 40.1% 1097 / 2891 37.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 30 / 39 76.9% 68.8% 48 / 82 58.5% 68.8%
On the ground 40 / 49 81.6% 71.1% 97 / 121 80.2% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 188 / 473 39.7% 35.2% 840 / 2519 33.3% 35.2%
To the body 47 / 96 49.0% 68.2% 217 / 322 67.4% 68.2%
To the legs 73 / 94 77.7% 80.3% 185 / 253 73.1% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

646.2% acc · 1.15/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
3139.7% acc · 1.36/15 · norm 1.30
1982.6% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
4965.3% def · norm 62.5%
9:4112.4% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
61:4118.1% of cage time · norm 17.0%
14:172:44 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
34:171:30 per 15 · norm 2:44
20.38/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
90.40/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moreno has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.