BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Li Jingliang vs.
Keita Nakamura

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-7-0 Li Jingliang · UFC
4-7-0 Keita Nakamura · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-7-0
UFC record
4-7-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38
AgeΔ 4 yrs
42
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
71"
ReachΔ 2"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
23.6
Layoff (months)Δ 63.9 mo
87.5
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Li Jingliang carries real power — 0.79 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Li Jingliang outworks the Welterweight division — 4.46 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Keita Nakamura hunts takedowns — 1.72 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Li Jingliang

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 117
Tier 3 — regional circuit 82

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Keita Nakamura

Full career not yet synced for Keita Nakamura — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8464.46/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3372.14/min · norm 3.17
7483.95/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
5243.33/min · norm 3.06
42.4%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
35.7%norm 44.9%
56.6%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
57.6%norm 55.25%
100.79/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
40.38/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Li Jingliang

Distance 90.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.4% (norm 8.1%)

Keita Nakamura

Distance 88.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 5.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Li Jingliang

Head 73.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 18.0% (norm 8.4%)

Keita Nakamura

Head 87.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Jingliang L/AAccWelterweight med Nakamura L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 736 / 1811 40.6% 38.6% 267 / 834 32.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 40 / 75 53.3% 67.8% 37 / 56 66.1% 67.8%
On the ground 70 / 108 64.8% 67.2% 33 / 54 61.1% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 476 / 1469 32.4% 37.2% 267 / 830 32.2% 37.2%
To the body 108 / 167 64.7% 70.7% 49 / 79 62.0% 70.7%
To the legs 262 / 358 73.2% 82.9% 21 / 35 60.0% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Jingliang L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Nakamura L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 597 / 1516 39.4% 39.0% 379 / 994 38.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 62 / 94 66.0% 68.9% 76 / 114 66.7% 68.9%
On the ground 89 / 113 78.8% 68.0% 69 / 129 53.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 543 / 1443 37.6% 35.6% 346 / 1016 34.1% 35.6%
To the body 99 / 151 65.6% 69.6% 104 / 141 73.8% 69.6%
To the legs 106 / 129 82.2% 82.1% 74 / 80 92.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1541.7% acc · 1.19/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1851.4% acc · 1.72/15 · norm 1.27
2660.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2363.9% def · norm 63.9%
15:248.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
23:4415.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
29:572:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
33:303:11 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.38/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Jingliang has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.