Leonardo Mafra vs. Rick Story

UFC 1-3-0 vs. 12-7-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
1-3-0
UFC record
12-7-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
37
AgeΔ 4 yrs
41
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
132.7
Layoff (months)Δ 13.2 mo
119.5
LWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Rick Story hunts takedowns — 2.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Rick Story is a submission threat — 0.89 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Opponents land 54% of their head shots on Leonardo Mafra, vs a 35% Lightweight norm — a hole in the guard.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Leonardo Mafra

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 13
Tier 3 — regional circuit 144

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.37 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Rick Story

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 148
Tier 3 — regional circuit 72

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1614.55/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
9013.80/min · norm 3.17
1554.38/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
5152.17/min · norm 3.06
48.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
41.8%norm 44.9%
43.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
62.5%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
60.38/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Leonardo Mafra

Distance 86.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.5% (norm 8.0%)

Rick Story

Distance 74.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 14.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 11.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Leonardo Mafra

Head 74.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.2% (norm 7.9%)

Rick Story

Head 73.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Mafra L/AAccLightweight med Story L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 129 / 286 45.1% 37.9% 548 / 1606 34.1% 38.6%
In the clinch 14 / 21 too few to rate 67.3% 201 / 312 64.4% 67.8%
On the ground 18 / 25 72.0% 69.1% 152 / 240 63.3% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 97 / 246 39.4% 35.0% 465 / 1586 29.3% 37.2%
To the body 24 / 39 61.5% 69.1% 312 / 432 72.2% 70.7%
To the legs 40 / 47 85.1% 81.9% 124 / 140 88.6% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Mafra L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Story L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 102 / 203 50.2% 38.9% 395 / 1173 33.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 7 / 12 too few to rate 68.6% 94 / 165 57.0% 68.9%
On the ground 46 / 60 76.7% 68.0% 26 / 36 72.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 115 / 213 54.0% 35.1% 336 / 1118 30.1% 35.6%
To the body 32 / 51 62.7% 68.1% 108 / 168 64.3% 69.6%
To the legs 8 / 11 too few to rate 81.5% 71 / 88 80.7% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
583.3% acc · 2.12/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
4048.2% acc · 2.53/15 · norm 1.27
969.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
4863.2% def · norm 63.9%
6:5119.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
74:5431.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
11:414:57 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
39:212:29 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.42/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
140.89/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Story has more cage time on record.