Leonardo Mafra vs. Cain Carrizosa

UFC 1-3-0 vs. 0-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
1-3-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
37
AgeΔ 3 yrs
40
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
70"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
132.7
Layoff (months)Δ 3.9 mo
136.6
LWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Cain Carrizosa carries real power — 0.93 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Cain Carrizosa rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Opponents land 54% of their head shots on Leonardo Mafra, vs a 35% Lightweight norm — a hole in the guard.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Leonardo Mafra

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 13
Tier 3 — regional circuit 144

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.37 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Cain Carrizosa

Full career not yet synced for Cain Carrizosa — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1614.55/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
442.72/min · norm 3.42
1554.38/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
945.80/min · norm 3.37
48.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
42.3%norm 43.5%
43.6%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
51.0%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.93/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Leonardo Mafra

Distance 86.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.5% (norm 8.0%)

Cain Carrizosa

Distance 94.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 1.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Leonardo Mafra

Head 74.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.2% (norm 7.9%)

Cain Carrizosa

Head 82.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Mafra L/AAccLightweight med Carrizosa L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 129 / 286 45.1% 37.9% 42 / 98 42.9% 37.9%
In the clinch 14 / 21 too few to rate 67.3% 2 / 5 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 18 / 25 72.0% 69.1% 0 / 1 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 97 / 246 39.4% 35.0% 35 / 86 40.7% 35.0%
To the body 24 / 39 61.5% 69.1% 8 / 16 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 40 / 47 85.1% 81.9% 1 / 2 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Mafra L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Carrizosa L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 102 / 203 50.2% 38.9% 69 / 155 44.5% 38.9%
In the clinch 7 / 12 too few to rate 68.6% 8 / 13 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 46 / 60 76.7% 68.0% 17 / 24 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 115 / 213 54.0% 35.1% 65 / 154 42.2% 35.1%
To the body 32 / 51 62.7% 68.1% 11 / 18 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 8 / 11 too few to rate 81.5% 18 / 20 too few to rate 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
583.3% acc · 2.12/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
969.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
114.3% def · norm 64.0%
6:5119.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
1:006.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
11:414:57 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
7:367:02 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.42/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mafra has more cage time on record.