BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Leonardo Guimaraes vs.
Anthony Smith

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 Leonardo Guimaraes · UFC
13-12-0 Anthony Smith · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0
UFC record
13-12-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
44.3
AgeΔ 6.3 yrs
38
6'0"
HeightΔ 4"
6'4"
Reach
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
118.6
Layoff (months)Δ 103.3 mo
15.3
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Leonardo Guimaraes is a submission threat — 1.01 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Leonardo Guimaraes rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Anthony Smith is a submission threat — 0.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Leonardo Guimaraes

Full career not yet synced for Leonardo Guimaraes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Anthony Smith

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1512
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 2310

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.69 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 36 finish wins over 61 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

702.35/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
8403.24/min · norm 3.41
892.99/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
13475.19/min · norm 3.35
56.0%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
50.1%norm 48.3%
44.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
44.4%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
70.40/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Leonardo Guimaraes

Distance 69.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 15.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.2% (norm 10.3%)

Anthony Smith

Distance 91.7% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Leonardo Guimaraes

Head 74.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 21.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 4.0% (norm 8.4%)

Anthony Smith

Head 75.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.8% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Guimaraes L/AAccMiddleweight med Smith L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 39 / 87 44.8% 40.5% 739 / 1539 48.0% 41.4%
In the clinch 12 / 19 too few to rate 70.3% 64 / 89 71.9% 70.9%
On the ground 19 / 19 too few to rate 69.1% 37 / 50 74.0% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 47 / 93 50.5% 38.9% 527 / 1268 41.6% 38.9%
To the body 18 / 27 66.7% 71.7% 155 / 232 66.8% 71.9%
To the legs 5 / 5 too few to rate 83.3% 158 / 178 88.8% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Guimaraes L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Smith L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 53 / 117 45.3% 39.5% 835 / 1752 47.7% 40.4%
In the clinch 10 / 15 too few to rate 70.9% 117 / 170 68.8% 68.7%
On the ground 26 / 29 89.7% 69.0% 395 / 500 79.0% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 64 / 125 51.2% 37.9% 810 / 1762 46.0% 37.5%
To the body 19 / 29 65.5% 71.3% 210 / 294 71.4% 72.3%
To the legs 6 / 7 too few to rate 82.1% 327 / 366 89.3% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
822.9% acc · 0.46/15 · norm 0.87
1052.6% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2450.0% def · norm 66.7%
3:4612.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
16:236.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
14:097:07 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
82:234:45 per 15 · norm 2:48
21.01/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
80.46/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smith has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.