BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Leon Edwards vs.
Pawel Pawlak

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

14-5-0 (1 NC) Leon Edwards · UFC
1-2-0 Pawel Pawlak · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

14-5-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
1-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
34.9
AgeΔ 2.6 yrs
37.5
6'2"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
74"
ReachΔ 1"
73"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
8.7
Layoff (months)Δ 123.9 mo
132.6
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Pawel Pawlak is wasteful with head shots — only 22% land, vs a 37% Welterweight norm.
Pawel Pawlak is wasteful with strikes at range — only 26% land, vs a 39% Welterweight norm.
Leon Edwards is accurate with strikes at range — lands 49%, vs a 39% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Leon Edwards

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 145
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.33 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.2 wins over .500

Pawel Pawlak

Full career not yet synced for Pawel Pawlak — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8732.60/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
751.67/min · norm 3.17
8192.44/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1002.22/min · norm 3.06
54.4%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
33.8%norm 44.9%
52.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
53.9%norm 55.25%
50.22/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Leon Edwards

Distance 83.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 8.1%)

Pawel Pawlak

Distance 83.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Leon Edwards

Head 71.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 12.1% (norm 8.4%)

Pawel Pawlak

Head 75.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Edwards L/AAccWelterweight med Pawlak L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 662 / 1345 49.2% 38.6% 49 / 185 26.5% 38.6%
In the clinch 119 / 143 83.2% 67.8% 20 / 28 71.4% 67.8%
On the ground 92 / 118 78.0% 67.2% 6 / 9 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 490 / 1145 42.8% 37.2% 36 / 167 21.6% 37.2%
To the body 206 / 266 77.4% 70.7% 28 / 42 66.7% 70.7%
To the legs 177 / 195 90.8% 82.9% 11 / 13 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Edwards L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Pawlak L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 594 / 1434 41.4% 39.0% 64 / 161 39.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 118 / 156 75.6% 68.9% 18 / 36 50.0% 68.9%
On the ground 107 / 144 74.3% 68.0% 18 / 20 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 503 / 1295 38.8% 35.6% 52 / 153 34.0% 35.6%
To the body 192 / 261 73.6% 69.6% 31 / 46 67.4% 69.6%
To the legs 124 / 178 69.7% 82.1% 17 / 18 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2837.3% acc · 1.25/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
337.5% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.27
7963.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1470.0% def · norm 63.9%
70:2621.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
3:287.7% of cage time · norm 18.5%
89:133:59 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
25:028:20 per 15 · norm 3:15
80.36/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Edwards has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.