BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Lavar Johnson vs.
Joey Beltran

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Lavar Johnson · UFC
3-6-0 (1 NC) Joey Beltran · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
3-6-0 (1 NC)
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
49
AgeΔ 5 yrs
44
6'4"
HeightΔ 3"
6'1"
82"
ReachΔ 7"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
161.4
Layoff (months)Δ 7.5 mo
153.9
LLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LNCLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Lavar Johnson carries real power — 1.19 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Lavar Johnson outworks the Heavyweight division — 5.73 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.36 norm.
Joey Beltran absorbs 5.18 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.19 Heavyweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Lavar Johnson

Full career not yet synced for Lavar Johnson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Joey Beltran

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 124

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.45 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1445.73/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
5834.58/min · norm 3.36
552.19/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
6605.18/min · norm 3.19
64.9%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
37.1%norm 47.8%
55.6%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
50.5%norm 52.5%
21.19/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Lavar Johnson

Distance 47.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 42.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 9.9% (norm 9.3%)

Joey Beltran

Distance 80.4% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 16.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Lavar Johnson

Head 78.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 14.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 7.6%)

Joey Beltran

Head 84.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Johnson L/AAccHeavyweight med Beltran L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 58 / 106 54.7% 40.1% 353 / 1264 27.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 68 / 94 72.3% 70.6% 187 / 252 74.2% 70.6%
On the ground 18 / 22 too few to rate 70.2% 43 / 56 76.8% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 101 / 175 57.7% 38.9% 399 / 1335 29.9% 38.9%
To the body 28 / 31 90.3% 76.8% 105 / 145 72.4% 76.8%
To the legs 15 / 16 too few to rate 87.8% 79 / 92 85.9% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Johnson L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Beltran L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 29 / 87 33.3% 40.7% 521 / 1136 45.9% 40.7%
In the clinch 13 / 17 too few to rate 70.6% 102 / 145 70.3% 70.6%
On the ground 13 / 20 too few to rate 72.0% 37 / 51 72.5% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 38 / 102 37.3% 38.8% 467 / 1099 42.5% 38.8%
To the body 10 / 13 too few to rate 75.1% 99 / 129 76.7% 75.1%
To the legs 7 / 9 too few to rate 84.4% 94 / 104 90.4% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1100.0% acc · 0.60/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
518.5% acc · 0.59/15 · norm 0.95
758.3% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
2672.2% def · norm 64.3%
3:3614.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
34:4627.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
14:318:40 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
18:002:07 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Beltran has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.