BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Lauren Murphy vs.
Valentina Shevchenko

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-7-0 Lauren Murphy · UFC
15-3-1 Valentina Shevchenko · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-7-0
UFC record
15-3-1
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
43
AgeΔ 4.6 yrs
38.4
5'5"
HeightΔ 0"
5'5"
67"
ReachΔ 1"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
12.8
Layoff (months)Δ 4.1 mo
8.7
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWDL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Valentina Shevchenko hunts takedowns — 2.65 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Valentina Shevchenko owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Flyweight norm.
Lauren Murphy absorbs 5.19 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.81 Women's Flyweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Lauren Murphy

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Valentina Shevchenko

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 153
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.56 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8643.94/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
11003.04/min · norm 3.91
11375.19/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
7262.00/min · norm 3.81
38.5%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
52.6%norm 44.9%
56.8%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
63.5%norm 55.95%
10.07/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
20.08/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Lauren Murphy

Distance 87.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.4% (norm 4.9%)

Valentina Shevchenko

Distance 81.0% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.6% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Lauren Murphy

Head 87.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 7.3% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.7%)

Valentina Shevchenko

Head 76.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 10.6% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Murphy L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Shevchenko L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 628 / 1960 32.0% 39.9% 790 / 1693 46.7% 39.9%
In the clinch 129 / 163 79.1% 73.3% 104 / 155 67.1% 73.3%
On the ground 107 / 122 87.7% 74.7% 206 / 242 85.1% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 644 / 1963 32.8% 34.9% 722 / 1590 45.4% 34.9%
To the body 116 / 164 70.7% 69.5% 150 / 221 67.9% 69.5%
To the legs 104 / 118 88.1% 82.6% 228 / 279 81.7% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Murphy L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Shevchenko L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 979 / 2418 40.5% 38.8% 529 / 1739 30.4% 38.8%
In the clinch 110 / 149 73.8% 74.1% 153 / 183 83.6% 74.1%
On the ground 48 / 66 72.7% 73.4% 44 / 69 63.8% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 731 / 2073 35.3% 35.3% 265 / 1251 21.2% 35.3%
To the body 196 / 304 64.5% 69.0% 215 / 351 61.3% 69.0%
To the legs 210 / 256 82.0% 78.7% 246 / 389 63.2% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1624.6% acc · 1.09/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
6461.5% acc · 2.65/15 · norm 1.02
3367.3% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
4276.4% def · norm 58.95%
38:1717.5% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
113:4931.4% of cage time · norm 19.15%
34:592:23 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
51:082:07 per 15 · norm 3:03
30.21/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
70.29/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Shevchenko has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.