BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Lauren Murphy vs.
Liz Carmouche

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-7-0 Lauren Murphy · UFC
5-5-0 Liz Carmouche · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-7-0
UFC record
5-5-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
43
AgeΔ 0.5 yrs
42.5
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
67"
ReachΔ 1"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
12.8
Layoff (months)Δ 71.1 mo
83.9
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Liz Carmouche hunts takedowns — 2.61 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.91 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Liz Carmouche defends head shots well — opponents land just 21%, vs a 38% Women's Bantamweight norm.
Lauren Murphy absorbs 5.19 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.81 Women's Flyweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Lauren Murphy

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Liz Carmouche

Full career not yet synced for Liz Carmouche — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8643.94/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
3142.18/min · norm 3.56
11375.19/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
3022.10/min · norm 3.51
38.5%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
53.0%norm 46.65%
56.8%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
64.9%norm 52.45%
10.07/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Lauren Murphy

Distance 87.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.4% (norm 4.9%)

Liz Carmouche

Distance 70.4% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 8.8% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 20.8% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Lauren Murphy

Head 87.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 7.3% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.7%)

Liz Carmouche

Head 65.9% (norm 75.2%) · Body 13.0% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 21.1% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Murphy L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Carmouche L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 628 / 1960 32.0% 39.9% 177 / 417 42.4% 38.3%
In the clinch 129 / 163 79.1% 73.3% 46 / 52 88.5% 73.3%
On the ground 107 / 122 87.7% 74.7% 91 / 123 74.0% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 644 / 1963 32.8% 34.9% 164 / 390 42.1% 37.7%
To the body 116 / 164 70.7% 69.5% 57 / 77 74.0% 70.0%
To the legs 104 / 118 88.1% 82.6% 93 / 125 74.4% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Murphy L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Carmouche L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 979 / 2418 40.5% 38.8% 171 / 678 25.2% 41.3%
In the clinch 110 / 149 73.8% 74.1% 75 / 111 67.6% 74.7%
On the ground 48 / 66 72.7% 73.4% 56 / 72 77.8% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 731 / 2073 35.3% 35.3% 126 / 606 20.8% 38.1%
To the body 196 / 304 64.5% 69.0% 48 / 90 53.3% 73.2%
To the legs 210 / 256 82.0% 78.7% 128 / 165 77.6% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1624.6% acc · 1.09/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
2561.0% acc · 2.61/15 · norm 0.91
3367.3% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1666.7% def · norm 62.5%
38:1717.5% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
42:4129.7% of cage time · norm 26.55%
34:592:23 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
38:133:59 per 15 · norm 3:19
30.21/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
40.42/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Murphy has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.