BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Lara Procopio vs.
Karol Rosa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Lara Procopio · UFC
8-5-0 Karol Rosa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
8-5-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
30
AgeΔ 1 yrs
31
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'5"
67"
ReachΔ 0"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
61.6
Layoff (months)Δ 60.1 mo
1.5
LWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Lara Procopio hunts takedowns — 3.15 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Karol Rosa carries real power — 0.15 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.08 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Lara Procopio owns the mat — in control 35% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Lara Procopio

Full career not yet synced for Lara Procopio — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Karol Rosa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 3 — regional circuit 113

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.82 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2425.64/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
10665.47/min · norm 3.56
2796.50/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
8354.28/min · norm 3.51
58.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
55.6%norm 46.65%
47.1%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
49.5%norm 52.45%
00.00/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
20.15/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Lara Procopio

Distance 89.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 4.9%)

Karol Rosa

Distance 85.2% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Lara Procopio

Head 78.2% (norm 78.1%) · Body 10.4% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 7.7%)

Karol Rosa

Head 71.3% (norm 75.2%) · Body 8.9% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 19.8% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Procopio L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Rosa L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 203 / 369 55.0% 39.9% 853 / 1634 52.2% 38.3%
In the clinch 30 / 35 85.7% 73.3% 112 / 144 77.8% 73.3%
On the ground 9 / 9 too few to rate 74.7% 101 / 139 72.7% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 159 / 323 49.2% 34.9% 623 / 1366 45.6% 37.7%
To the body 39 / 43 90.7% 69.5% 136 / 171 79.5% 70.0%
To the legs 44 / 47 93.6% 82.6% 307 / 380 80.8% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Procopio L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Rosa L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 223 / 455 49.0% 38.8% 710 / 1493 47.6% 41.3%
In the clinch 27 / 35 77.1% 74.1% 103 / 133 77.4% 74.7%
On the ground 29 / 37 78.4% 73.4% 22 / 28 78.6% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 166 / 388 42.8% 35.3% 479 / 1216 39.4% 38.1%
To the body 47 / 55 85.5% 69.0% 195 / 250 78.0% 73.2%
To the legs 66 / 84 78.6% 78.7% 161 / 188 85.6% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

947.4% acc · 3.15/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
1448.3% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 0.91
150.0% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
2773.0% def · norm 62.5%
14:5534.8% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
52:2026.8% of cage time · norm 26.55%
7:362:39 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
39:083:00 per 15 · norm 3:19
10.35/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
20.15/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rosa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.