BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kyoji Horiguchi vs.
Tagir Ulanbekov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-2-0 Kyoji Horiguchi · UFC
6-2-0 Tagir Ulanbekov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-2-0
UFC record
6-2-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
35.8
AgeΔ 0.8 yrs
35
5'5"
HeightΔ 2"
5'7"
66"
ReachΔ 4"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
1.5
Layoff (months)Δ 6.9 mo
8.4
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Kyoji Horiguchi carries real power — 0.59 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Tagir Ulanbekov is a submission threat — 1.52 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Tagir Ulanbekov owns the mat — in control 41% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kyoji Horiguchi

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 245
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.66 · 24 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 42 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Tagir Ulanbekov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 62
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.3 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5553.64/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
2983.01/min · norm 3.49
3172.08/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
3403.44/min · norm 3.24
47.6%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
48.2%norm 44.6%
64.0%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
50.6%norm 56.4%
60.59/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.15/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kyoji Horiguchi

Distance 78.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 12.8% (norm 7.3%)

Tagir Ulanbekov

Distance 85.1% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 6.5% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kyoji Horiguchi

Head 83.0% (norm 75.9%) · Body 11.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 9.3%)

Tagir Ulanbekov

Head 87.7% (norm 75.9%) · Body 9.1% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Horiguchi L/AAccFlyweight med Ulanbekov L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 389 / 917 42.4% 40.0% 225 / 526 42.8% 40.0%
In the clinch 72 / 100 72.0% 70.4% 42 / 52 80.8% 70.4%
On the ground 94 / 149 63.1% 69.7% 31 / 40 77.5% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 417 / 968 43.1% 37.6% 241 / 542 44.5% 37.6%
To the body 90 / 136 66.2% 68.5% 41 / 56 73.2% 68.5%
To the legs 48 / 62 77.4% 80.0% 16 / 20 too few to rate 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Horiguchi L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Ulanbekov L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 237 / 766 30.9% 40.1% 240 / 556 43.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 55 / 82 67.1% 68.8% 48 / 70 68.6% 68.8%
On the ground 25 / 33 75.8% 71.1% 52 / 62 83.9% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 176 / 660 26.7% 35.2% 183 / 484 37.8% 35.2%
To the body 80 / 138 58.0% 68.2% 64 / 93 68.8% 68.2%
To the legs 61 / 83 73.5% 80.3% 93 / 111 83.8% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1740.5% acc · 1.67/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
1839.1% acc · 2.73/15 · norm 1.30
3061.2% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1963.3% def · norm 62.5%
33:1021.7% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
40:1940.8% of cage time · norm 17.0%
27:122:40 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
13:362:03 per 15 · norm 2:44
10.10/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
101.52/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Horiguchi has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.