BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kyle Kingsbury vs.
Tom Lawlor

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-5-0 Kyle Kingsbury · UFC
6-5-0 Tom Lawlor · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-5-0
UFC record
6-5-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
44.4
AgeΔ 1.2 yrs
43.2
6'4"
HeightΔ 4"
6'0"
79"
ReachΔ 5"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
144.3
Layoff (months)Δ 19.3 mo
125
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Kyle Kingsbury hunts takedowns — 2.64 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Tom Lawlor is a submission threat — 1.38 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Tom Lawlor owns the mat — in control 38% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kyle Kingsbury

Full career not yet synced for Kyle Kingsbury — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Tom Lawlor

Full career not yet synced for Tom Lawlor — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3042.97/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
2442.50/min · norm 3.25
3893.81/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
2352.41/min · norm 3.20
40.9%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 47.4%
51.2%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
60.5%norm 53.8%
10.15/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
30.46/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kyle Kingsbury

Distance 81.9% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 15.2% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 10.4%)

Tom Lawlor

Distance 68.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 19.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kyle Kingsbury

Head 70.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.0% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 17.9% (norm 9.7%)

Tom Lawlor

Head 92.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 3.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kingsbury L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Lawlor L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 208 / 609 34.2% 41.4% 120 / 396 30.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 82 / 113 72.6% 70.9% 77 / 113 68.1% 70.3%
On the ground 14 / 22 too few to rate 72.3% 47 / 66 71.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 137 / 522 26.2% 38.9% 207 / 534 38.8% 38.9%
To the body 68 / 89 76.4% 71.9% 18 / 22 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 99 / 133 74.4% 81.8% 19 / 19 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kingsbury L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Lawlor L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 244 / 562 43.4% 40.4% 152 / 454 33.5% 39.5%
In the clinch 70 / 113 61.9% 68.7% 60 / 103 58.3% 70.9%
On the ground 75 / 122 61.5% 70.4% 23 / 38 60.5% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 268 / 626 42.8% 37.5% 148 / 467 31.7% 37.9%
To the body 84 / 122 68.9% 72.3% 56 / 88 63.6% 71.3%
To the legs 37 / 49 75.5% 83.0% 31 / 40 77.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1841.9% acc · 2.64/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1632.0% acc · 2.46/15 · norm 1.42
2652.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1157.9% def · norm 63.1%
21:4221.2% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
37:1438.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
39:075:44 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
15:462:25 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
91.38/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lawlor has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.