BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kurt Pellegrino vs.
Josh Neer

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-5-0 Kurt Pellegrino · UFC
6-9-0 Josh Neer · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-5-0
UFC record
6-9-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
47.2
AgeΔ 3.8 yrs
43.4
5'8"
HeightΔ 3"
5'11"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
184.6
Layoff (months)Δ 23.2 mo
161.4
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Josh Neer is a submission threat — 1.30 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Kurt Pellegrino owns the mat — in control 47% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Kurt Pellegrino hunts takedowns — 2.90 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kurt Pellegrino

Full career not yet synced for Kurt Pellegrino — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Josh Neer

Full career not yet synced for Josh Neer — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3042.45/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
4733.15/min · norm 3.17
2401.94/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
5443.63/min · norm 3.06
43.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
44.7%norm 44.9%
63.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
57.7%norm 55.25%
30.36/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.10/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kurt Pellegrino

Distance 64.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 27.3% (norm 8.0%)

Josh Neer

Distance 61.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 20.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.4% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kurt Pellegrino

Head 88.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.6% (norm 7.9%)

Josh Neer

Head 85.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pellegrino L/AAccLightweight med Neer L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 140 / 453 30.9% 37.9% 222 / 656 33.8% 38.6%
In the clinch 34 / 55 61.8% 67.3% 139 / 219 63.5% 67.8%
On the ground 130 / 191 68.1% 69.1% 112 / 184 60.9% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 240 / 617 38.9% 35.0% 352 / 910 38.7% 37.2%
To the body 46 / 57 80.7% 69.1% 72 / 90 80.0% 70.7%
To the legs 18 / 25 72.0% 81.9% 49 / 59 83.1% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pellegrino L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Neer L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 137 / 501 27.3% 38.9% 317 / 910 34.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 33 / 45 73.3% 68.6% 156 / 229 68.1% 68.9%
On the ground 70 / 106 66.0% 68.0% 71 / 147 48.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 186 / 574 32.4% 35.1% 357 / 1047 34.1% 35.6%
To the body 34 / 51 66.7% 68.1% 137 / 184 74.5% 69.6%
To the legs 20 / 27 74.1% 81.5% 50 / 55 90.9% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2454.5% acc · 2.90/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1041.7% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.27
2769.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2742.2% def · norm 63.9%
58:1046.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
32:4021.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
21:072:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
54:525:29 per 15 · norm 3:15
70.85/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
131.30/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Neer has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.