BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kurt Holobaugh vs.
Shane Burgos

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-7-0 Kurt Holobaugh · UFC
8-3-0 Shane Burgos · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-7-0
UFC record
8-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
39.9
AgeΔ 4.5 yrs
35.4
5'11"
HeightΔ 0"
5'11"
70"
ReachΔ 5"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
14.2
Layoff (months)Δ 34.5 mo
48.7
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Shane Burgos carries real power — 0.64 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Shane Burgos outworks the Featherweight division — 7.40 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.54 norm.
Kurt Holobaugh is a submission threat — 0.77 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kurt Holobaugh

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 27
Tier 3 — regional circuit 203

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Shane Burgos

Full career not yet synced for Shane Burgos — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4564.65/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
10407.40/min · norm 3.54
4434.52/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
9526.78/min · norm 3.47
45.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
52.4%norm 45.0%
48.5%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
56.4%norm 54.85%
10.15/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
60.64/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kurt Holobaugh

Distance 86.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

Shane Burgos

Distance 88.4% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 6.6% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kurt Holobaugh

Head 77.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.9%)

Shane Burgos

Head 76.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.8% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Holobaugh L/AAccLightweight med Burgos L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 357 / 880 40.6% 37.9% 854 / 1754 48.7% 40.9%
In the clinch 75 / 104 72.1% 67.3% 106 / 130 81.5% 70.8%
On the ground 24 / 30 80.0% 69.1% 80 / 100 80.0% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 283 / 784 36.1% 35.0% 664 / 1518 43.7% 37.2%
To the body 113 / 153 73.9% 69.1% 199 / 271 73.4% 68.2%
To the legs 60 / 77 77.9% 81.9% 177 / 195 90.8% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Holobaugh L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Burgos L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 292 / 648 45.1% 38.9% 835 / 2014 41.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 72 / 102 70.6% 68.6% 83 / 121 68.6% 70.3%
On the ground 79 / 110 71.8% 68.0% 34 / 46 73.9% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 329 / 717 45.9% 35.1% 643 / 1748 36.8% 35.9%
To the body 80 / 103 77.7% 68.1% 145 / 219 66.2% 67.9%
To the legs 34 / 40 85.0% 81.5% 164 / 214 76.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

533.3% acc · 0.77/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
444.4% acc · 0.43/15 · norm 1.19
1336.1% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
6591.5% def · norm 61.5%
16:1616.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
14:5910.7% of cage time · norm 16.7%
41:386:22 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
16:141:43 per 15 · norm 3:12
50.77/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
40.43/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Burgos has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.