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Kurt Holobaugh vs. Raoni Barcelos

UFC 2-7-0 vs. 11-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-7-0
UFC record
11-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
40
AgeΔ 1 yrs
39
5'11"
HeightΔ 4"
5'7"
70"
ReachΔ 3"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
16.7
Layoff (months)Δ 15.9 mo
0.8
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Raoni Barcelos is a submission threat — 0.96 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Raoni Barcelos hunts takedowns — 2.88 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Kurt Holobaugh is a submission threat — 0.77 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Kurt Holobaugh

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 27
Tier 3 — regional circuit 203

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Raoni Barcelos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 114
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 51
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.47 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4564.65/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
10454.77/min · norm 3.52
4434.52/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
9504.34/min · norm 3.58
45.0%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
52.3%norm 43.5%
48.5%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
60.0%norm 56.6%
10.15/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
50.34/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kurt Holobaugh

Distance 86.8% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

Raoni Barcelos

Distance 84.1% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 11.3% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kurt Holobaugh

Head 77.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 8.0%)

Raoni Barcelos

Head 82.5% (norm 77.5%) · Body 10.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Holobaugh L/AAccLightweight med Barcelos L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 357 / 880 40.6% 38.3% 798 / 1680 47.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 75 / 104 72.1% 67.5% 73 / 93 78.5% 69.0%
On the ground 24 / 30 80.0% 68.8% 174 / 225 77.3% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 283 / 784 36.1% 35.1% 762 / 1649 46.2% 35.3%
To the body 113 / 153 73.9% 69.1% 158 / 204 77.5% 66.9%
To the legs 60 / 77 77.9% 81.8% 125 / 145 86.2% 79.2%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Bantamweight: 121 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Holobaugh L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Barcelos L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 292 / 648 45.1% 38.8% 833 / 2200 37.9% 39.4%
In the clinch 72 / 102 70.6% 68.6% 76 / 117 65.0% 70.6%
On the ground 79 / 110 71.8% 68.0% 41 / 57 71.9% 72.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 329 / 717 45.9% 35.2% 634 / 1953 32.5% 34.9%
To the body 80 / 103 77.7% 68.2% 184 / 268 68.7% 66.1%
To the legs 34 / 40 85.0% 81.5% 132 / 153 86.3% 78.8%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
533.3% acc · 0.77/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
4233.3% acc · 2.88/15 · norm 1.12
1336.1% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
3886.4% def · norm 65.7%
16:1616.6% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
55:0525.2% of cage time · norm 17.8%
41:386:22 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
13:340:55 per 15 · norm 2:24
50.77/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
140.96/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Barcelos has more cage time on record.