BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Khalil Rountree Jr. vs.
Karl Roberson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-7-0 (1 NC) Khalil Rountree Jr. · UFC
4-6-0 Karl Roberson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-7-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
4-6-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
36.4
AgeΔ 0.6 yrs
35.8
6'1"
HeightΔ 0"
6'1"
76"
ReachΔ 2"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
10.1
Layoff (months)Δ 38.8 mo
48.9
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Khalil Rountree Jr. carries real power — 1.20 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Khalil Rountree Jr. rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Karl Roberson rarely shoots — 0.73 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 107
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Karl Roberson

Full career not yet synced for Karl Roberson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6803.88/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
2082.51/min · norm 3.25
7584.33/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
2002.42/min · norm 3.20
40.6%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
51.5%norm 47.4%
49.5%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
57.7%norm 53.8%
141.20/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
10.18/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Distance 94.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 3.2% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 10.4%)

Karl Roberson

Distance 75.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 16.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Head 76.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.3% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 9.7%)

Karl Roberson

Head 74.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Jr. L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Roberson L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 617 / 1576 39.1% 41.4% 122 / 303 40.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 36 / 53 67.9% 70.9% 33 / 35 94.3% 70.3%
On the ground 27 / 44 61.4% 72.3% 53 / 66 80.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 375 / 1276 29.4% 38.9% 127 / 299 42.5% 38.9%
To the body 162 / 223 72.6% 71.9% 37 / 54 68.5% 71.7%
To the legs 143 / 174 82.2% 81.8% 44 / 51 86.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Jr. L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Roberson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 684 / 1407 48.6% 40.4% 100 / 344 29.1% 39.5%
In the clinch 31 / 41 75.6% 68.7% 14 / 18 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 43 / 53 81.1% 70.4% 86 / 111 77.5% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 439 / 1101 39.9% 37.5% 147 / 384 38.3% 37.9%
To the body 165 / 215 76.7% 72.3% 32 / 53 60.4% 71.3%
To the legs 154 / 185 83.2% 83.0% 21 / 36 58.3% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
440.0% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.42
2058.8% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1140.7% def · norm 63.1%
3:111.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
14:2617.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
17:491:31 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
30:005:26 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.09/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
30.54/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Jr. has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.