BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs.
Thiago Tavares

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

13-0-0 Khabib Nurmagomedov · UFC
10-7-1 Thiago Tavares · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

13-0-0
UFC record
10-7-1
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
37.9
AgeΔ 3.8 yrs
41.7
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
5'7"
70"
ReachΔ 0"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
69.4
Layoff (months)Δ 51.5 mo
120.9
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Khabib Nurmagomedov hunts takedowns — 5.32 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Thiago Tavares is a submission threat — 1.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Khabib Nurmagomedov owns the mat — in control 55% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Khabib Nurmagomedov

Full career not yet synced for Khabib Nurmagomedov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Thiago Tavares

Full career not yet synced for Thiago Tavares — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7054.10/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3292.00/min · norm 3.42
3011.75/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
3792.31/min · norm 3.37
48.8%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
40.1%norm 43.5%
65.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
62.8%norm 56.3%
20.17/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Khabib Nurmagomedov

Distance 61.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 36.1% (norm 8.0%)

Thiago Tavares

Distance 75.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Khabib Nurmagomedov

Head 91.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.7% (norm 7.9%)

Thiago Tavares

Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nurmagomedov L/AAccLightweight med Tavares L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 298 / 883 33.7% 37.9% 209 / 618 33.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 27 / 40 67.5% 67.3% 30 / 53 56.6% 67.3%
On the ground 380 / 521 72.9% 69.1% 90 / 149 60.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 604 / 1318 45.8% 35.0% 229 / 680 33.7% 35.0%
To the body 65 / 87 74.7% 69.1% 76 / 106 71.7% 69.1%
To the legs 36 / 39 92.3% 81.9% 24 / 34 70.6% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nurmagomedov L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Tavares L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 260 / 822 31.6% 38.9% 224 / 783 28.6% 38.9%
In the clinch 30 / 35 85.7% 68.6% 59 / 97 60.8% 68.6%
On the ground 11 / 13 too few to rate 68.0% 96 / 139 69.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 167 / 661 25.3% 35.1% 243 / 834 29.1% 35.1%
To the body 88 / 155 56.8% 68.1% 69 / 102 67.6% 68.1%
To the legs 46 / 54 85.2% 81.5% 67 / 83 80.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6148.0% acc · 5.32/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
4242.9% acc · 3.83/15 · norm 1.38
1184.6% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2262.9% def · norm 64.0%
94:4155.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
63:2738.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
2:330:13 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
33:293:03 per 15 · norm 2:46
90.79/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
161.46/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tavares has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.