BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kevin Lee vs.
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-8-0 Kevin Lee · UFC
6-0-1 Rinat Fakhretdinov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-8-0
UFC record
6-0-1
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
33
AgeΔ 1 yrs
34
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
77"
ReachΔ 3"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
37.2
Layoff (months)Δ 26.2 mo
11
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWDW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rinat Fakhretdinov hunts takedowns — 3.91 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Rinat Fakhretdinov owns the mat — in control 54% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Kevin Lee hunts takedowns — 3.18 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kevin Lee

Full career not yet synced for Kevin Lee — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 60
Tier 3 — regional circuit 171

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.52 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8433.88/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3865.02/min · norm 3.17
7813.60/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2773.61/min · norm 3.06
42.3%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
52.9%norm 44.9%
50.3%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
54.4%norm 55.25%
10.07/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.59/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kevin Lee

Distance 77.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.0% (norm 8.0%)

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Distance 73.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.3% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kevin Lee

Head 87.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.2% (norm 7.9%)

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Head 81.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 8.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lee L/AAccLightweight med Fakhretdinov L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 500 / 1537 32.5% 37.9% 254 / 539 47.1% 38.6%
In the clinch 73 / 98 74.5% 67.3% 67 / 94 71.3% 67.8%
On the ground 270 / 360 75.0% 69.1% 65 / 97 67.0% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 653 / 1746 37.4% 35.0% 275 / 594 46.3% 37.2%
To the body 166 / 225 73.8% 69.1% 53 / 74 71.6% 70.7%
To the legs 24 / 24 too few to rate 81.9% 58 / 62 93.5% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lee L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Fakhretdinov L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 650 / 1405 46.3% 38.9% 208 / 519 40.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 64 / 84 76.2% 68.6% 51 / 67 76.1% 68.9%
On the ground 67 / 83 80.7% 68.0% 18 / 22 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 514 / 1235 41.6% 35.1% 170 / 475 35.8% 35.6%
To the body 146 / 202 72.3% 68.1% 65 / 89 73.0% 69.6%
To the legs 121 / 135 89.6% 81.5% 42 / 44 95.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4643.4% acc · 3.18/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2034.5% acc · 3.91/15 · norm 1.27
3075.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1191.7% def · norm 63.9%
89:3241.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
41:3154.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
16:101:07 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
6:131:12 per 15 · norm 3:15
110.76/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.20/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lee has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.