BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kevin Holland vs.
Khamzat Chimaev

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

16-12-0 (1 NC) Kevin Holland · UFC
9-1-0 Khamzat Chimaev · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

16-12-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
9-1-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
33.7
AgeΔ 1.4 yrs
32.3
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
81"
ReachΔ 6"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 0.9 mo
2.9
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Khamzat Chimaev hunts takedowns — 5.32 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Khamzat Chimaev is a submission threat — 1.37 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Kevin Holland rarely shoots — 0.83 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kevin Holland

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1812
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 12
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.09 · 19 tier-1/2 wins · 23 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Khamzat Chimaev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 91
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.03 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12884.18/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
3964.01/min · norm 3.25
10173.30/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
2942.98/min · norm 3.20
50.3%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
54.2%norm 47.4%
50.0%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
52.0%norm 53.8%
70.34/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.30/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kevin Holland

Distance 82.8% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 7.9% (norm 10.3%)

Khamzat Chimaev

Distance 69.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 2.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 28.4% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kevin Holland

Head 70.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 15.8% (norm 8.4%)

Khamzat Chimaev

Head 80.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Holland L/AAccMiddleweight med Chimaev L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 962 / 2122 45.3% 40.5% 221 / 507 43.6% 40.5%
In the clinch 173 / 238 72.7% 70.3% 13 / 16 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 153 / 203 75.4% 69.1% 162 / 207 78.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 704 / 1797 39.2% 38.9% 301 / 588 51.2% 38.9%
To the body 242 / 360 67.2% 71.7% 58 / 104 55.8% 71.7%
To the legs 342 / 406 84.2% 83.3% 37 / 38 97.4% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Holland L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Chimaev L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 741 / 1548 47.9% 39.5% 264 / 578 45.7% 39.5%
In the clinch 112 / 165 67.9% 70.9% 11 / 12 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 164 / 319 51.4% 69.0% 19 / 23 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 574 / 1442 39.8% 37.9% 245 / 548 44.7% 37.9%
To the body 250 / 369 67.8% 71.3% 35 / 48 72.9% 71.3%
To the legs 193 / 221 87.3% 82.1% 14 / 17 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1739.5% acc · 0.83/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
3558.3% acc · 5.32/15 · norm 1.42
6757.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
787.5% def · norm 63.1%
40:4613.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
55:4756.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
100:394:53 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
4:000:36 per 15 · norm 3:00
130.63/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
91.37/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Holland has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.