BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kevin Ferguson vs.
Matt Mitrione

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-1-0 Kevin Ferguson · UFC
9-5-0 Matt Mitrione · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-1-0
UFC record
9-5-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
52
AgeΔ 4 yrs
48
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'3"
77"
ReachΔ 5"
82"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
194.9
Layoff (months)Δ 68.3 mo
126.6
LW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Matt Mitrione carries real power — 1.53 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Matt Mitrione is a submission threat — 0.68 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Kevin Ferguson hunts takedowns — 3.69 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kevin Ferguson

Full career not yet synced for Kevin Ferguson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Matt Mitrione

Full career not yet synced for Matt Mitrione — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

321.31/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
3133.55/min · norm 3.36
873.57/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
2462.79/min · norm 3.19
36.8%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
50.1%norm 47.8%
35.6%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
64.6%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
91.53/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kevin Ferguson

Distance 75.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 13.8% (norm 9.3%)

Matt Mitrione

Distance 82.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 8.8% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kevin Ferguson

Head 86.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 1.1% (norm 7.6%)

Matt Mitrione

Head 83.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 5.9% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ferguson L/AAccHeavyweight med Mitrione L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 16 / 66 24.2% 40.1% 235 / 517 45.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 4 / 9 too few to rate 70.6% 30 / 53 56.6% 70.6%
On the ground 12 / 12 too few to rate 70.2% 48 / 55 87.3% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 27 / 75 36.0% 38.9% 225 / 522 43.1% 38.9%
To the body 5 / 11 too few to rate 76.8% 28 / 37 75.7% 76.8%
To the legs 0 / 1 too few to rate 87.8% 60 / 66 90.9% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ferguson L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Mitrione L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 58 / 95 61.1% 40.7% 162 / 580 27.9% 40.7%
In the clinch 5 / 14 too few to rate 70.6% 33 / 45 73.3% 70.6%
On the ground 24 / 26 92.3% 72.0% 51 / 70 72.9% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 39 / 75 52.0% 38.8% 163 / 560 29.1% 38.8%
To the body 5 / 5 too few to rate 75.1% 45 / 83 54.2% 75.1%
To the legs 43 / 55 78.2% 84.4% 38 / 52 73.1% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

666.7% acc · 3.69/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
0— def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1655.2% def · norm 64.3%
6:5328.2% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
6:267.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
3:332:10 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
24:034:05 per 15 · norm 2:28
10.61/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
40.68/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mitrione has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.