Kevin Casey vs.
Josh Samman
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Kevin Casey
Full career not yet synced for Kevin Casey — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500
Josh Samman
Full career not yet synced for Josh Samman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Kevin Casey
Distance 69.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 23.8% (norm 10.3%)
Josh Samman
Distance 47.2% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 38.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 14.7% (norm 10.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Kevin Casey
Head 72.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 8.4%)
Josh Samman
Head 56.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 33.1% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Casey L/A | Acc | Middleweight med | Samman L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 89 / 215 | 41.4% | 40.5% | 36 / 77 | 46.8% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 20 / 22 | too few to rate | 70.3% | 36 / 62 | 58.1% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 61 / 74 | 82.4% | 69.1% | 14 / 24 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 103 / 225 | 45.8% | 38.9% | 34 / 92 | 37.0% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 38 / 53 | 71.7% | 71.7% | 35 / 54 | 64.8% | 71.7% |
| To the legs | 29 / 33 | 87.9% | 83.3% | 17 / 17 | too few to rate | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Casey L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med | vs Samman L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 93 / 251 | 37.1% | 39.5% | 13 / 38 | 34.2% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 87 / 117 | 74.4% | 70.9% | 14 / 18 | too few to rate | 70.9% |
| On the ground | 56 / 90 | 62.2% | 69.0% | 75 / 100 | 75.0% | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 133 / 337 | 39.5% | 37.9% | 84 / 132 | 63.6% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 76 / 93 | 81.7% | 71.3% | 17 / 22 | too few to rate | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 27 / 28 | 96.4% | 82.1% | 1 / 2 | too few to rate | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Casey has more cage time on record.